Robert Golob's strong 71.5% implied probability as Slovenia's next prime minister reflects his position as the incumbent leader of the Freedom Movement, which heads the center-left coalition government formed after the 2022 parliamentary elections and holding steady despite recent turbulence. Trader consensus favors Golob amid no snap election triggers or no-confidence votes against him, with his government's focus on EU integration and green policies maintaining support in polls. Janez Janša at 20% trails as the veteran SDS opposition leader, whose right-wing bloc gained seats in recent local elections but lacks coalition partners for a majority. Anže Logar of Nova Slovenija (3.5%) and Vladimir Prebilič (0.4%) lag due to smaller party bases, though upcoming parliamentary sessions on budget and judicial reforms could shift dynamics if coalition frictions escalate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于罗伯特·戈洛布 71%
Janez Janša 20%
安热·洛加尔 3.8%
弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇 <1%
$1,606,451 交易量
$1,606,451 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
罗伯特·戈洛布
71%
Janez Janša
20%
安热·洛加尔
4%
弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇
<1%
罗伯特·戈洛布 71%
Janez Janša 20%
安热·洛加尔 3.8%
弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇 <1%
$1,606,451 交易量
$1,606,451 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
罗伯特·戈洛布
$456,679 交易量
71%
Janez Janša
$512,340 交易量
20%
安热·洛加尔
$511,216 交易量
4%
弗拉迪米尔·普雷比利奇
$126,216 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Robert Golob's strong 71.5% implied probability as Slovenia's next prime minister reflects his position as the incumbent leader of the Freedom Movement, which heads the center-left coalition government formed after the 2022 parliamentary elections and holding steady despite recent turbulence. Trader consensus favors Golob amid no snap election triggers or no-confidence votes against him, with his government's focus on EU integration and green policies maintaining support in polls. Janez Janša at 20% trails as the veteran SDS opposition leader, whose right-wing bloc gained seats in recent local elections but lacks coalition partners for a majority. Anže Logar of Nova Slovenija (3.5%) and Vladimir Prebilič (0.4%) lag due to smaller party bases, though upcoming parliamentary sessions on budget and judicial reforms could shift dynamics if coalition frictions escalate.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,606,451结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Robert Golob's strong 71.5% implied probability as Slovenia's next prime minister reflects his position as the incumbent leader of the Freedom Movement, which heads the center-left coalition government formed after the 2022 parliamentary elections and holding steady despite recent turbulence. Trader consensus favors Golob amid no snap election triggers or no-confidence votes against him, with his government's focus on EU integration and green policies maintaining support in polls. Janez Janša at 20% trails as the veteran SDS opposition leader, whose right-wing bloc gained seats in recent local elections but lacks coalition partners for a majority. Anže Logar of Nova Slovenija (3.5%) and Vladimir Prebilič (0.4%) lag due to smaller party bases, though upcoming parliamentary sessions on budget and judicial reforms could shift dynamics if coalition frictions escalate.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,606,451结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Robert Golob's strong 71.5% implied probability as Slovenia's next prime minister reflects his position as the incumbent leader of the Freedom Movement, which heads the center-left coalition government formed after the 2022 parliamentary elections and holding steady despite recent turbulence. Trader consensus favors Golob amid no snap election triggers or no-confidence votes against him, with his government's focus on EU integration and green policies maintaining support in polls. Janez Janša at 20% trails as the veteran SDS opposition leader, whose right-wing bloc gained seats in recent local elections but lacks coalition partners for a majority. Anže Logar of Nova Slovenija (3.5%) and Vladimir Prebilič (0.4%) lag due to smaller party bases, though upcoming parliamentary sessions on budget and judicial reforms could shift dynamics if coalition frictions escalate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题