Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including the Israel-Gaza conflict and Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage to nations expelling Israeli and U.S. ambassadors, have sustained trader focus on potential diplomatic ruptures. Calls from opposition lawmakers in France and the United Kingdom for envoy expulsions, alongside South Africa's January 2026 action against an Israeli chargé d'affaires, illustrate mounting parliamentary and public pressure on governments. These developments, combined with Spain's March recall of its own ambassador to Israel, reflect broader strains in bilateral ties without triggering full expulsions to date. With the December 31 deadline ahead, the 58% implied probability captures uncertainty over whether incentives or domestic politics will prompt any state to take that step.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$29,478 交易量
$29,478 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$29,478 交易量
$29,478 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including the Israel-Gaza conflict and Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage to nations expelling Israeli and U.S. ambassadors, have sustained trader focus on potential diplomatic ruptures. Calls from opposition lawmakers in France and the United Kingdom for envoy expulsions, alongside South Africa's January 2026 action against an Israeli chargé d'affaires, illustrate mounting parliamentary and public pressure on governments. These developments, combined with Spain's March recall of its own ambassador to Israel, reflect broader strains in bilateral ties without triggering full expulsions to date. With the December 31 deadline ahead, the 58% implied probability captures uncertainty over whether incentives or domestic politics will prompt any state to take that step.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$29,478结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including the Israel-Gaza conflict and Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage to nations expelling Israeli and U.S. ambassadors, have sustained trader focus on potential diplomatic ruptures. Calls from opposition lawmakers in France and the United Kingdom for envoy expulsions, alongside South Africa's January 2026 action against an Israeli chargé d'affaires, illustrate mounting parliamentary and public pressure on governments. These developments, combined with Spain's March recall of its own ambassador to Israel, reflect broader strains in bilateral ties without triggering full expulsions to date. With the December 31 deadline ahead, the 58% implied probability captures uncertainty over whether incentives or domestic politics will prompt any state to take that step.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,478结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, including the Israel-Gaza conflict and Iran's March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage to nations expelling Israeli and U.S. ambassadors, have sustained trader focus on potential diplomatic ruptures. Calls from opposition lawmakers in France and the United Kingdom for envoy expulsions, alongside South Africa's January 2026 action against an Israeli chargé d'affaires, illustrate mounting parliamentary and public pressure on governments. These developments, combined with Spain's March recall of its own ambassador to Israel, reflect broader strains in bilateral ties without triggering full expulsions to date. With the December 31 deadline ahead, the 58% implied probability captures uncertainty over whether incentives or domestic politics will prompt any state to take that step.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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