Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that WTI crude oil did not surpass its nominal all-time high of $147.27 per barrel—set intraday on July 3, 2008—by April 30, 2026, reflecting spot and futures prices peaking around $108 amid late-month volatility. Escalating US-Iran tensions drove a sharp rally, with WTI briefly testing $106 before retreating on thinned volumes and profit-taking, while Brent touched $126, its four-year high; however, ample global inventories, steady OPEC+ output, and softening demand signals from China capped upside far below historical precedent. With the deadline passed, resolution is certain barring data disputes, though tail risks like sudden Strait of Hormuz blockades or coordinated supply shocks could prompt post-resolution challenges if overlooked intraday peaks emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$812,018 交易量
$812,018 交易量
2026-04-30
是
$812,018 交易量
$812,018 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that WTI crude oil did not surpass its nominal all-time high of $147.27 per barrel—set intraday on July 3, 2008—by April 30, 2026, reflecting spot and futures prices peaking around $108 amid late-month volatility. Escalating US-Iran tensions drove a sharp rally, with WTI briefly testing $106 before retreating on thinned volumes and profit-taking, while Brent touched $126, its four-year high; however, ample global inventories, steady OPEC+ output, and softening demand signals from China capped upside far below historical precedent. With the deadline passed, resolution is certain barring data disputes, though tail risks like sudden Strait of Hormuz blockades or coordinated supply shocks could prompt post-resolution challenges if overlooked intraday peaks emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$812,018结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that WTI crude oil did not surpass its nominal all-time high of $147.27 per barrel—set intraday on July 3, 2008—by April 30, 2026, reflecting spot and futures prices peaking around $108 amid late-month volatility. Escalating US-Iran tensions drove a sharp rally, with WTI briefly testing $106 before retreating on thinned volumes and profit-taking, while Brent touched $126, its four-year high; however, ample global inventories, steady OPEC+ output, and softening demand signals from China capped upside far below historical precedent. With the deadline passed, resolution is certain barring data disputes, though tail risks like sudden Strait of Hormuz blockades or coordinated supply shocks could prompt post-resolution challenges if overlooked intraday peaks emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$812,018结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that WTI crude oil did not surpass its nominal all-time high of $147.27 per barrel—set intraday on July 3, 2008—by April 30, 2026, reflecting spot and futures prices peaking around $108 amid late-month volatility. Escalating US-Iran tensions drove a sharp rally, with WTI briefly testing $106 before retreating on thinned volumes and profit-taking, while Brent touched $126, its four-year high; however, ample global inventories, steady OPEC+ output, and softening demand signals from China capped upside far below historical precedent. With the deadline passed, resolution is certain barring data disputes, though tail risks like sudden Strait of Hormuz blockades or coordinated supply shocks could prompt post-resolution challenges if overlooked intraday peaks emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题