Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high of approximately $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by current benchmark futures trading around $105—well below the 2008 nominal peak—despite a 6-7% surge this week on escalated U.S.-Iran tensions following President Trump's White House address vowing continued strikes. Supporting this view, EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories climbing 5.5 million barrels for the week ending March 27, signaling ample supply amid OPEC+ output disruptions from Strait of Hormuz issues, while 2026 outlooks point to persistent oversupply risks outpacing demand growth. Realistic challenges include prolonged Middle East conflict disrupting 7+ million bpd or unexpected inventory draws ahead of next week's EIA report, though base rates for such rapid price doubling remain low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
$25,007 交易量
最新
$25,007 交易量
2026-04-30
最新
$25,007 交易量
最新
$25,007 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high of approximately $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by current benchmark futures trading around $105—well below the 2008 nominal peak—despite a 6-7% surge this week on escalated U.S.-Iran tensions following President Trump's White House address vowing continued strikes. Supporting this view, EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories climbing 5.5 million barrels for the week ending March 27, signaling ample supply amid OPEC+ output disruptions from Strait of Hormuz issues, while 2026 outlooks point to persistent oversupply risks outpacing demand growth. Realistic challenges include prolonged Middle East conflict disrupting 7+ million bpd or unexpected inventory draws ahead of next week's EIA report, though base rates for such rapid price doubling remain low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$25,007结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high of approximately $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by current benchmark futures trading around $105—well below the 2008 nominal peak—despite a 6-7% surge this week on escalated U.S.-Iran tensions following President Trump's White House address vowing continued strikes. Supporting this view, EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories climbing 5.5 million barrels for the week ending March 27, signaling ample supply amid OPEC+ output disruptions from Strait of Hormuz issues, while 2026 outlooks point to persistent oversupply risks outpacing demand growth. Realistic challenges include prolonged Middle East conflict disrupting 7+ million bpd or unexpected inventory draws ahead of next week's EIA report, though base rates for such rapid price doubling remain low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$25,007结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 90.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high of approximately $147 per barrel by April 30, driven by current benchmark futures trading around $105—well below the 2008 nominal peak—despite a 6-7% surge this week on escalated U.S.-Iran tensions following President Trump's White House address vowing continued strikes. Supporting this view, EIA data showed U.S. crude inventories climbing 5.5 million barrels for the week ending March 27, signaling ample supply amid OPEC+ output disruptions from Strait of Hormuz issues, while 2026 outlooks point to persistent oversupply risks outpacing demand growth. Realistic challenges include prolonged Middle East conflict disrupting 7+ million bpd or unexpected inventory draws ahead of next week's EIA report, though base rates for such rapid price doubling remain low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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