US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, ongoing since February 28 amid proxy escalations, have targeted nuclear sites like Arak heavy-water plant, Tehran weapons production facilities, military infrastructure, and energy assets, with Israel launching a major wave on March 27 that Iranian state media claims hit nuclear facilities. Houthi rebels fired their first ballistic missile at Israel from Yemen on March 28, intercepted without casualties, signaling broader involvement as Iran warns of retaliation. Israel’s defense minister vowed to intensify attacks, while President Trump extended the Strait of Hormuz access deadline and noted ceasefire talks progressing, leaving traders monitoring for high-value strikes on remaining nuclear sites like Fordow or Isfahan before the March 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$361,926 交易量
福尔多核设施
10%
伊斯法罕核设施
16%
$361,926 交易量
福尔多核设施
$97,889 交易量
10%
伊斯法罕核设施
$97,736 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by US Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the US, Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, ongoing since February 28 amid proxy escalations, have targeted nuclear sites like Arak heavy-water plant, Tehran weapons production facilities, military infrastructure, and energy assets, with Israel launching a major wave on March 27 that Iranian state media claims hit nuclear facilities. Houthi rebels fired their first ballistic missile at Israel from Yemen on March 28, intercepted without casualties, signaling broader involvement as Iran warns of retaliation. Israel’s defense minister vowed to intensify attacks, while President Trump extended the Strait of Hormuz access deadline and noted ceasefire talks progressing, leaving traders monitoring for high-value strikes on remaining nuclear sites like Fordow or Isfahan before the March 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
交易量
$361,926市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by US Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the US, Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, ongoing since February 28 amid proxy escalations, have targeted nuclear sites like Arak heavy-water plant, Tehran weapons production facilities, military infrastructure, and energy assets, with Israel launching a major wave on March 27 that Iranian state media claims hit nuclear facilities. Houthi rebels fired their first ballistic missile at Israel from Yemen on March 28, intercepted without casualties, signaling broader involvement as Iran warns of retaliation. Israel’s defense minister vowed to intensify attacks, while President Trump extended the Strait of Hormuz access deadline and noted ceasefire talks progressing, leaving traders monitoring for high-value strikes on remaining nuclear sites like Fordow or Isfahan before the March 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$361,926市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, ongoing since February 28 amid proxy escalations, have targeted nuclear sites like Arak heavy-water plant, Tehran weapons production facilities, military infrastructure, and energy assets, with Israel launching a major wave on March 27 that Iranian state media claims hit nuclear facilities. Houthi rebels fired their first ballistic missile at Israel from Yemen on March 28, intercepted without casualties, signaling broader involvement as Iran warns of retaliation. Israel’s defense minister vowed to intensify attacks, while President Trump extended the Strait of Hormuz access deadline and noted ceasefire talks progressing, leaving traders monitoring for high-value strikes on remaining nuclear sites like Fordow or Isfahan before the March 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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