Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian drone strikes in early March 2026 that severely damaged key facilities in Ras Laffan and Mesaieed, halting all LNG output. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on contracts, with CEO Saad al-Kaabi stating the attacks wiped out 17% of capacity for up to five years, requiring extensive repairs. Restart efforts face weeks-long liquefaction shutdowns and potential delays to the North Field East expansion, originally slated for late 2026. No official resumption signals have emerged in the past month amid ongoing regional tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$23,549 交易量
$23,549 交易量
$23,549 交易量
$23,549 交易量
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian drone strikes in early March 2026 that severely damaged key facilities in Ras Laffan and Mesaieed, halting all LNG output. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on contracts, with CEO Saad al-Kaabi stating the attacks wiped out 17% of capacity for up to five years, requiring extensive repairs. Restart efforts face weeks-long liquefaction shutdowns and potential delays to the North Field East expansion, originally slated for late 2026. No official resumption signals have emerged in the past month amid ongoing regional tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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