Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled over Tehran's refusal to fully end uranium enrichment or transfer its approximately 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched material abroad. Senior Iranian officials stated in late May that no agreement exists on handing over the stockpile, consistent with Supreme Leader directives and red lines on domestic enrichment rights. US demands for dismantlement of key sites like Natanz and Fordow, plus permanent curbs, contrast with Iranian proposals limited to temporary pauses or dilution under IAEA oversight. These entrenched positions, following earlier 2026 talks and military exchanges, underpin the market's assessment that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 faces significant procedural and diplomatic barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$476,296 交易量
$476,296 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$476,296 交易量
$476,296 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled over Tehran's refusal to fully end uranium enrichment or transfer its approximately 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched material abroad. Senior Iranian officials stated in late May that no agreement exists on handing over the stockpile, consistent with Supreme Leader directives and red lines on domestic enrichment rights. US demands for dismantlement of key sites like Natanz and Fordow, plus permanent curbs, contrast with Iranian proposals limited to temporary pauses or dilution under IAEA oversight. These entrenched positions, following earlier 2026 talks and military exchanges, underpin the market's assessment that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 faces significant procedural and diplomatic barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
交易量
$476,296结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled over Tehran's refusal to fully end uranium enrichment or transfer its approximately 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched material abroad. Senior Iranian officials stated in late May that no agreement exists on handing over the stockpile, consistent with Supreme Leader directives and red lines on domestic enrichment rights. US demands for dismantlement of key sites like Natanz and Fordow, plus permanent curbs, contrast with Iranian proposals limited to temporary pauses or dilution under IAEA oversight. These entrenched positions, following earlier 2026 talks and military exchanges, underpin the market's assessment that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 faces significant procedural and diplomatic barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$476,296结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled over Tehran's refusal to fully end uranium enrichment or transfer its approximately 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched material abroad. Senior Iranian officials stated in late May that no agreement exists on handing over the stockpile, consistent with Supreme Leader directives and red lines on domestic enrichment rights. US demands for dismantlement of key sites like Natanz and Fordow, plus permanent curbs, contrast with Iranian proposals limited to temporary pauses or dilution under IAEA oversight. These entrenched positions, following earlier 2026 talks and military exchanges, underpin the market's assessment that a binding commitment to end enrichment by December 31 faces significant procedural and diplomatic barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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