Recent Pakistani-mediated indirect talks between US and Iranian officials in Islamabad produced limited progress toward an interim nuclear agreement, with narrowing differences on uranium enrichment limits despite persistent rifts over facility dismantlement and stockpile transfers, bolstering trader consensus at 69.5% for a deal by June 30. President Trump's description of Iran's counterproposal as a "workable basis" signals diplomatic momentum under the fragile ceasefire, which has reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. As the truce nears expiry without renewal, US leverage from recent military actions and sanctions pressures Iran toward compromise, though major gaps remain and a second negotiation round looms critical for bridging divides before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,228,251 交易量
$1,228,251 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,228,251 交易量
$1,228,251 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent Pakistani-mediated indirect talks between US and Iranian officials in Islamabad produced limited progress toward an interim nuclear agreement, with narrowing differences on uranium enrichment limits despite persistent rifts over facility dismantlement and stockpile transfers, bolstering trader consensus at 69.5% for a deal by June 30. President Trump's description of Iran's counterproposal as a "workable basis" signals diplomatic momentum under the fragile ceasefire, which has reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. As the truce nears expiry without renewal, US leverage from recent military actions and sanctions pressures Iran toward compromise, though major gaps remain and a second negotiation round looms critical for bridging divides before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,228,251结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent Pakistani-mediated indirect talks between US and Iranian officials in Islamabad produced limited progress toward an interim nuclear agreement, with narrowing differences on uranium enrichment limits despite persistent rifts over facility dismantlement and stockpile transfers, bolstering trader consensus at 69.5% for a deal by June 30. President Trump's description of Iran's counterproposal as a "workable basis" signals diplomatic momentum under the fragile ceasefire, which has reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. As the truce nears expiry without renewal, US leverage from recent military actions and sanctions pressures Iran toward compromise, though major gaps remain and a second negotiation round looms critical for bridging divides before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$1,228,254结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Pakistani-mediated indirect talks between US and Iranian officials in Islamabad produced limited progress toward an interim nuclear agreement, with narrowing differences on uranium enrichment limits despite persistent rifts over facility dismantlement and stockpile transfers, bolstering trader consensus at 69.5% for a deal by June 30. President Trump's description of Iran's counterproposal as a "workable basis" signals diplomatic momentum under the fragile ceasefire, which has reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. As the truce nears expiry without renewal, US leverage from recent military actions and sanctions pressures Iran toward compromise, though major gaps remain and a second negotiation round looms critical for bridging divides before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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