Recent stalled negotiations over Iran's nuclear program explain the strong trader consensus against a US-Iran agreement by June 30. Following the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes and a temporary April ceasefire, indirect talks via Oman and Pakistan produced counterproposals on uranium enrichment limits, stockpile removal, and sanctions relief, yet US officials have described Iranian offers as lacking meaningful concessions on core issues. President Trump has signaled constructive progress on a potential ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz reopening but directed negotiators not to rush, citing the need for stronger terms. With the deadline weeks away and no framework announced, the market reflects persistent gaps between the parties' positions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$5,930,910 交易量
$5,930,910 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$5,930,910 交易量
$5,930,910 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent stalled negotiations over Iran's nuclear program explain the strong trader consensus against a US-Iran agreement by June 30. Following the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes and a temporary April ceasefire, indirect talks via Oman and Pakistan produced counterproposals on uranium enrichment limits, stockpile removal, and sanctions relief, yet US officials have described Iranian offers as lacking meaningful concessions on core issues. President Trump has signaled constructive progress on a potential ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz reopening but directed negotiators not to rush, citing the need for stronger terms. With the deadline weeks away and no framework announced, the market reflects persistent gaps between the parties' positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$5,930,910结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent stalled negotiations over Iran's nuclear program explain the strong trader consensus against a US-Iran agreement by June 30. Following the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes and a temporary April ceasefire, indirect talks via Oman and Pakistan produced counterproposals on uranium enrichment limits, stockpile removal, and sanctions relief, yet US officials have described Iranian offers as lacking meaningful concessions on core issues. President Trump has signaled constructive progress on a potential ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz reopening but directed negotiators not to rush, citing the need for stronger terms. With the deadline weeks away and no framework announced, the market reflects persistent gaps between the parties' positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$5,931,823结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent stalled negotiations over Iran's nuclear program explain the strong trader consensus against a US-Iran agreement by June 30. Following the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes and a temporary April ceasefire, indirect talks via Oman and Pakistan produced counterproposals on uranium enrichment limits, stockpile removal, and sanctions relief, yet US officials have described Iranian offers as lacking meaningful concessions on core issues. President Trump has signaled constructive progress on a potential ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz reopening but directed negotiators not to rush, citing the need for stronger terms. With the deadline weeks away and no framework announced, the market reflects persistent gaps between the parties' positions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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