Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed since Kazakhstan’s formal accession in early 2026 and Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s recognition of the territory in December 2025. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while talks with Syria and Lebanon remain stalled by security concerns and ongoing regional operations. U.S. efforts under the current administration have sustained broader outreach, yet no bilateral agreements appear close to finalization within the narrow window before June 30. Traders assign an 89 percent probability to “No” because these structural barriers and the absence of recent breakthroughs make an additional signing highly unlikely before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$24,880 交易量
$24,880 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$24,880 交易量
$24,880 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed since Kazakhstan’s formal accession in early 2026 and Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s recognition of the territory in December 2025. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while talks with Syria and Lebanon remain stalled by security concerns and ongoing regional operations. U.S. efforts under the current administration have sustained broader outreach, yet no bilateral agreements appear close to finalization within the narrow window before June 30. Traders assign an 89 percent probability to “No” because these structural barriers and the absence of recent breakthroughs make an additional signing highly unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$24,880结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed since Kazakhstan’s formal accession in early 2026 and Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s recognition of the territory in December 2025. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while talks with Syria and Lebanon remain stalled by security concerns and ongoing regional operations. U.S. efforts under the current administration have sustained broader outreach, yet no bilateral agreements appear close to finalization within the narrow window before June 30. Traders assign an 89 percent probability to “No” because these structural barriers and the absence of recent breakthroughs make an additional signing highly unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,880结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed since Kazakhstan’s formal accession in early 2026 and Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s recognition of the territory in December 2025. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete steps toward Palestinian statehood, while talks with Syria and Lebanon remain stalled by security concerns and ongoing regional operations. U.S. efforts under the current administration have sustained broader outreach, yet no bilateral agreements appear close to finalization within the narrow window before June 30. Traders assign an 89 percent probability to “No” because these structural barriers and the absence of recent breakthroughs make an additional signing highly unlikely before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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