Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel strikes on Iran commenced February 28—prompting interception by Israeli Arrow defenses and sirens in areas like Beersheba. This escalation follows Houthi vows to join the conflict, protesting US-Israeli actions against Iranian targets, and revives threats to Red Sea shipping lanes. Israel has previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi radar and missile sites in Yemen in response to similar launches, fueling trader expectations of imminent retaliation amid the broadening regional war involving Iranian proxies. Upcoming Houthi operations or further missile barrages could accelerate Israeli military action before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$782,777 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
45%
4月30日
85%
6月30日
92%
5月31日
90%
$782,777 交易量
3月31日
$378,373 交易量
45%
4月30日
$17,248 交易量
85%
6月30日
$354,934 交易量
92%
5月31日
$32,669 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel strikes on Iran commenced February 28—prompting interception by Israeli Arrow defenses and sirens in areas like Beersheba. This escalation follows Houthi vows to join the conflict, protesting US-Israeli actions against Iranian targets, and revives threats to Red Sea shipping lanes. Israel has previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi radar and missile sites in Yemen in response to similar launches, fueling trader expectations of imminent retaliation amid the broadening regional war involving Iranian proxies. Upcoming Houthi operations or further missile barrages could accelerate Israeli military action before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
交易量
$782,777结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel strikes on Iran commenced February 28—prompting interception by Israeli Arrow defenses and sirens in areas like Beersheba. This escalation follows Houthi vows to join the conflict, protesting US-Israeli actions against Iranian targets, and revives threats to Red Sea shipping lanes. Israel has previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi radar and missile sites in Yemen in response to similar launches, fueling trader expectations of imminent retaliation amid the broadening regional war involving Iranian proxies. Upcoming Houthi operations or further missile barrages could accelerate Israeli military action before market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$782,777结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile toward southern Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel strikes on Iran commenced February 28—prompting interception by Israeli Arrow defenses and sirens in areas like Beersheba. This escalation follows Houthi vows to join the conflict, protesting US-Israeli actions against Iranian targets, and revives threats to Red Sea shipping lanes. Israel has previously conducted airstrikes on Houthi radar and missile sites in Yemen in response to similar launches, fueling trader expectations of imminent retaliation amid the broadening regional war involving Iranian proxies. Upcoming Houthi operations or further missile barrages could accelerate Israeli military action before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题