Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and reportedly wounded the son. Since then, he has issued only written statements and audio messages read on state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released. Iranian officials have cited security needs and recovery from injuries, while independent and U.S. intelligence reports reference possible facial disfigurement, leg damage, or broader incapacitation that has kept him in a secure, undisclosed location. Private meetings, including one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, have produced no public visuals. Traders view the probability of a confirmed public appearance by late June as low amid persistent health and security constraints, though diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or major de-escalation in hostilities could shift timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,746,834 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
12%
$1,746,834 交易量
June 30
$62,539 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and reportedly wounded the son. Since then, he has issued only written statements and audio messages read on state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released. Iranian officials have cited security needs and recovery from injuries, while independent and U.S. intelligence reports reference possible facial disfigurement, leg damage, or broader incapacitation that has kept him in a secure, undisclosed location. Private meetings, including one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, have produced no public visuals. Traders view the probability of a confirmed public appearance by late June as low amid persistent health and security constraints, though diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or major de-escalation in hostilities could shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$1,746,834结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and reportedly wounded the son. Since then, he has issued only written statements and audio messages read on state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released. Iranian officials have cited security needs and recovery from injuries, while independent and U.S. intelligence reports reference possible facial disfigurement, leg damage, or broader incapacitation that has kept him in a secure, undisclosed location. Private meetings, including one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, have produced no public visuals. Traders view the probability of a confirmed public appearance by late June as low amid persistent health and security constraints, though diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or major de-escalation in hostilities could shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$1,746,834结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and reportedly wounded the son. Since then, he has issued only written statements and audio messages read on state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released. Iranian officials have cited security needs and recovery from injuries, while independent and U.S. intelligence reports reference possible facial disfigurement, leg damage, or broader incapacitation that has kept him in a secure, undisclosed location. Private meetings, including one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, have produced no public visuals. Traders view the probability of a confirmed public appearance by late June as low amid persistent health and security constraints, though diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or major de-escalation in hostilities could shift timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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