Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on February 28. The younger Khamenei reportedly sustained injuries in the same attack, prompting Iranian officials to cite security needs and recovery as reasons for his seclusion. Since taking office, he has issued only written statements or audio messages read by state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released despite rallies, private meetings such as one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, and ongoing regional conflict. Traders' consensus on low near-term odds reflects these persistent health and security constraints, though developments like diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or de-escalation in hostilities could influence timelines before any resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,747,235 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
12%
$1,747,235 交易量
June 30
$62,939 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on February 28. The younger Khamenei reportedly sustained injuries in the same attack, prompting Iranian officials to cite security needs and recovery as reasons for his seclusion. Since taking office, he has issued only written statements or audio messages read by state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released despite rallies, private meetings such as one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, and ongoing regional conflict. Traders' consensus on low near-term odds reflects these persistent health and security constraints, though developments like diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or de-escalation in hostilities could influence timelines before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$1,747,235结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on February 28. The younger Khamenei reportedly sustained injuries in the same attack, prompting Iranian officials to cite security needs and recovery as reasons for his seclusion. Since taking office, he has issued only written statements or audio messages read by state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released despite rallies, private meetings such as one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, and ongoing regional conflict. Traders' consensus on low near-term odds reflects these persistent health and security constraints, though developments like diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or de-escalation in hostilities could influence timelines before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$1,747,235结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on February 28. The younger Khamenei reportedly sustained injuries in the same attack, prompting Iranian officials to cite security needs and recovery as reasons for his seclusion. Since taking office, he has issued only written statements or audio messages read by state media, with no verified photographs or video footage released despite rallies, private meetings such as one with President Masoud Pezeshkian in May, and ongoing regional conflict. Traders' consensus on low near-term odds reflects these persistent health and security constraints, though developments like diplomatic summits, Assembly of Experts sessions, or de-escalation in hostilities could influence timelines before any resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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