Market icon
政治·特朗普

哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？

Mar 31

Mar 31

$684,527 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$684,527 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

3月31日

$677,658 交易量

7%

Market icon

4月30日

$6,870 交易量

32%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes on March 14 targeted over 90 military sites on Iran's Kharg Island—handling 90% of its oil exports—but explicitly spared the oil terminal, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation against any infrastructure hits and rapid fortification of defenses. Recent developments include unverified reports of failed US Marine landings and captures, alongside Iranian strikes on US staging areas in Kuwait and Iraq, injuring over 300 American troops since late February. As the March 31 resolution deadline nears, trader sentiment hinges on potential US ground seizure plans to choke Iran's revenue amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, though diplomatic nuclear proposals persist; barriers include fierce Iranian resistance and global oil shock risks.

US airstrikes on March 14 targeted over 90 military sites on Iran's Kharg Island—handling 90% of its oil exports—but explicitly spared the oil terminal, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation against any infrastructure hits and rapid fortification of defenses. Recent developments include unverified reports of failed US Marine landings and captures, alongside Iranian strikes on US staging areas in Kuwait and Iraq, injuring over 300 American troops since late February. As the March 31 resolution deadline nears, trader sentiment hinges on potential US ground seizure plans to choke Iran's revenue amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, though diplomatic nuclear proposals persist; barriers include fierce Iranian resistance and global oil shock risks.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes on March 14 targeted over 90 military sites on Iran's Kharg Island—handling 90% of its oil exports—but explicitly spared the oil terminal, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation against any infrastructure hits and rapid fortification of defenses. Recent developments include unverified reports of failed US Marine landings and captures, alongside Iranian strikes on US staging areas in Kuwait and Iraq, injuring over 300 American troops since late February. As the March 31 resolution deadline nears, trader sentiment hinges on potential US ground seizure plans to choke Iran's revenue amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, though diplomatic nuclear proposals persist; barriers include fierce Iranian resistance and global oil shock risks.

US airstrikes on March 14 targeted over 90 military sites on Iran's Kharg Island—handling 90% of its oil exports—but explicitly spared the oil terminal, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation against any infrastructure hits and rapid fortification of defenses. Recent developments include unverified reports of failed US Marine landings and captures, alongside Iranian strikes on US staging areas in Kuwait and Iraq, injuring over 300 American troops since late February. As the March 31 resolution deadline nears, trader sentiment hinges on potential US ground seizure plans to choke Iran's revenue amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, though diplomatic nuclear proposals persist; barriers include fierce Iranian resistance and global oil shock risks.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4月30日"，概率为 32%，其次是"3月31日"，概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 32¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 32%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"已产生 $684.5K 的总交易量（自Feb 28, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"的当前领先者是"4月30日"，概率为 32%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 32%。紧随其后的结果是"3月31日"，概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哈格岛石油码头会受到……的袭击吗？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。