Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$80,320 交易量
2026-04-30
4月15日
否
4月30日
否
$80,320 交易量
4月15日
$38,630 交易量
否
4月30日
$41,690 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
交易量
$80,320结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$80,320结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated direct military action against Israel in early April 2026, claiming joint missile and drone strikes on Ben Gurion Airport and Eilat military sites coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah on April 6—the most recent major verified incident amid broader regional tensions. This marked a resumption after pausing attacks post-2025 Gaza ceasefire, with over 130 ballistic missiles and dozens of drones launched since late March. Israeli forces intercepted most projectiles, prompting retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets. No confirmed strikes have occurred in the past 28 days, but ongoing threats of escalation persist alongside potential Red Sea shipping disruptions and US naval presence in the Gulf, key factors traders weigh for near-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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