Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above $145 by March 31, driven primarily by anticipation for the February 26 Q4 earnings release, where analysts forecast $37.2 billion in revenue—up 78% YoY—fueled by unrelenting AI data center demand from hyperscalers like Microsoft and Meta. NVDA shares trade at $142.50 today, with a forward P/E of 48x reflecting premium valuation amid Blackwell GPU ramp-up, though tempered by U.S. export curbs to China capping 15-20% of sales. Key risks include earnings misses on gross margins (projected 76%) and potential Fed signals at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, while March options expiry could amplify volatility around the $140-150 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$19,911 交易量
120美元
99%
130美元
97%
140美元
99%
150美元
92%
$160
88%
170美元
63%
180美元
35%
$190
8%
200美元
7%
210美元
6%
$220
7%
$230
1%
$240
1%
$19,911 交易量
120美元
99%
130美元
97%
140美元
99%
150美元
92%
$160
88%
170美元
63%
180美元
35%
$190
8%
200美元
7%
210美元
6%
$220
7%
$230
1%
$240
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above $145 by March 31, driven primarily by anticipation for the February 26 Q4 earnings release, where analysts forecast $37.2 billion in revenue—up 78% YoY—fueled by unrelenting AI data center demand from hyperscalers like Microsoft and Meta. NVDA shares trade at $142.50 today, with a forward P/E of 48x reflecting premium valuation amid Blackwell GPU ramp-up, though tempered by U.S. export curbs to China capping 15-20% of sales. Key risks include earnings misses on gross margins (projected 76%) and potential Fed signals at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, while March options expiry could amplify volatility around the $140-150 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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