Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for June 2026 COMEX silver (SI) futures settlement, with the <$50 outcome at 19% implied probability edging out clustered higher bins amid a closely contested field totaling near parity between sub-$70 and above-$70 ranges. Recent sharp correction—spot silver plunging 22% over the past month to ~$69/oz from March highs near $95—stems from Federal Reserve's steady policy stance, firmer Treasury yields pressuring metals, and ebbing Middle East tensions curbing safe-haven flows, offsetting persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand from photovoltaics, EVs, and AI infrastructure. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, FOMC projections, and China industrial output; sustained deficits favor upside above $80, while substitution trends or USD strength could validate sub-$60 risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于低于50美元 19%
60-70美元 14.6%
70-80美元 13.3%
50至60美元 13.1%
$432,754 交易量
$432,754 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
低于50美元
19%
50至60美元
13%
60-70美元
15%
70-80美元
13%
80-90美元
13%
$90-$100
13%
100-115美元
10%
>115美元
13%
低于50美元 19%
60-70美元 14.6%
70-80美元 13.3%
50至60美元 13.1%
$432,754 交易量
$432,754 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
低于50美元
$57,088 交易量
19%
50至60美元
$48,279 交易量
13%
60-70美元
$48,614 交易量
15%
70-80美元
$35,008 交易量
13%
80-90美元
$21,812 交易量
13%
$90-$100
$31,340 交易量
13%
100-115美元
$37,856 交易量
10%
>115美元
$152,757 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for June 2026 COMEX silver (SI) futures settlement, with the <$50 outcome at 19% implied probability edging out clustered higher bins amid a closely contested field totaling near parity between sub-$70 and above-$70 ranges. Recent sharp correction—spot silver plunging 22% over the past month to ~$69/oz from March highs near $95—stems from Federal Reserve's steady policy stance, firmer Treasury yields pressuring metals, and ebbing Middle East tensions curbing safe-haven flows, offsetting persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand from photovoltaics, EVs, and AI infrastructure. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, FOMC projections, and China industrial output; sustained deficits favor upside above $80, while substitution trends or USD strength could validate sub-$60 risks.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$432,754结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for June 2026 COMEX silver (SI) futures settlement, with the <$50 outcome at 19% implied probability edging out clustered higher bins amid a closely contested field totaling near parity between sub-$70 and above-$70 ranges. Recent sharp correction—spot silver plunging 22% over the past month to ~$69/oz from March highs near $95—stems from Federal Reserve's steady policy stance, firmer Treasury yields pressuring metals, and ebbing Middle East tensions curbing safe-haven flows, offsetting persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand from photovoltaics, EVs, and AI infrastructure. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, FOMC projections, and China industrial output; sustained deficits favor upside above $80, while substitution trends or USD strength could validate sub-$60 risks.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
交易量
$432,754结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for June 2026 COMEX silver (SI) futures settlement, with the <$50 outcome at 19% implied probability edging out clustered higher bins amid a closely contested field totaling near parity between sub-$70 and above-$70 ranges. Recent sharp correction—spot silver plunging 22% over the past month to ~$69/oz from March highs near $95—stems from Federal Reserve's steady policy stance, firmer Treasury yields pressuring metals, and ebbing Middle East tensions curbing safe-haven flows, offsetting persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand from photovoltaics, EVs, and AI infrastructure. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data, FOMC projections, and China industrial output; sustained deficits favor upside above $80, while substitution trends or USD strength could validate sub-$60 risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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