WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Mar 31, 2026
84美元
92%
80美元
84%
76美元
90%
72美元
97%
68美元
95%
64美元
98%
60美元
99%
56美元
98%
52美元
100%
48美元
100%
$9,386 交易量
84美元
$1,318 交易量
92%
80美元
$1,578 交易量
84%
76美元
$393 交易量
90%
72美元
$0 交易量
97%
68美元
$1,303 交易量
95%
64美元
$1,577 交易量
98%
60美元
$0 交易量
99%
56美元
$0 交易量
98%
52美元
$1,587 交易量
100%
48美元
$1,630 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
交易量
$9,386结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$9,386结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures for end-of-March settlement reflect trader consensus pricing in persistent supply overhang against geopolitical supports, with front-month contracts hovering around $81 per barrel amid weekly volatility. The EIA's March 13 report revealed a surprise 3.2 million barrel crude stock build—versus expectations for a draw—exacerbating bearish pressures from record US production near 13.3 million bpd and softening Chinese demand signals. Counterbalancing factors include OPEC+ voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd through Q2 and Houthi disruptions elevating freight costs. Key catalysts ahead: Thursday's EIA inventory update, March 20 FOMC policy signals on growth, and potential Ukraine-Russia escalation; markets imply tight 50-55% odds above $82 amid recession risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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