Recent reports of a potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp selling in WTI crude, with front-month futures declining roughly 5% in recent sessions to trade near $76 per barrel as of June 17. This shift reflects trader repricing of geopolitical risk after months of production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and steep inventory draws. Market-implied odds now embed expectations for supply normalization before month-end, outweighing EIA assumptions of sustained $105 Brent averages under a closed-strait scenario. Key near-term catalysts include any final diplomatic announcements or weekly inventory data that could alter the path to June 30 settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$145,141 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
4%
85美元
30%
80美元
42%
75美元
63%
70美元
87%
65美元
92%
63美元
96%
60美元
96%
56美元
98%
$55
98%
52美元
99%
50美元
99%
$145,141 交易量
90美元
$29,016 交易量
4%
85美元
$8,719 交易量
30%
80美元
$6,856 交易量
42%
75美元
$17,999 交易量
63%
70美元
$20,744 交易量
87%
65美元
$1,045 交易量
92%
63美元
$9,491 交易量
96%
60美元
$26,562 交易量
96%
56美元
$5,222 交易量
98%
$55
$3,806 交易量
98%
52美元
$6,556 交易量
99%
50美元
$9,124 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent reports of a potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp selling in WTI crude, with front-month futures declining roughly 5% in recent sessions to trade near $76 per barrel as of June 17. This shift reflects trader repricing of geopolitical risk after months of production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and steep inventory draws. Market-implied odds now embed expectations for supply normalization before month-end, outweighing EIA assumptions of sustained $105 Brent averages under a closed-strait scenario. Key near-term catalysts include any final diplomatic announcements or weekly inventory data that could alter the path to June 30 settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$145,141结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent reports of a potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp selling in WTI crude, with front-month futures declining roughly 5% in recent sessions to trade near $76 per barrel as of June 17. This shift reflects trader repricing of geopolitical risk after months of production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and steep inventory draws. Market-implied odds now embed expectations for supply normalization before month-end, outweighing EIA assumptions of sustained $105 Brent averages under a closed-strait scenario. Key near-term catalysts include any final diplomatic announcements or weekly inventory data that could alter the path to June 30 settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$145,141结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent reports of a potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp selling in WTI crude, with front-month futures declining roughly 5% in recent sessions to trade near $76 per barrel as of June 17. This shift reflects trader repricing of geopolitical risk after months of production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day and steep inventory draws. Market-implied odds now embed expectations for supply normalization before month-end, outweighing EIA assumptions of sustained $105 Brent averages under a closed-strait scenario. Key near-term catalysts include any final diplomatic announcements or weekly inventory data that could alter the path to June 30 settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题