Middle East supply disruptions from the ongoing regional conflict have driven the primary catalyst for crude oil prices, with the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in April triggering sharp inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. These constraints have lifted benchmarks above $100 per barrel into late May, with EIA forecasts holding WTI around $106 through June amid limited spare capacity and reduced OPEC output following the UAE's exit. Weekly EIA inventory reports, potential de-escalation signals, and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term swing factors for end-of-June levels, while global demand growth remains subdued at roughly 0.2 million barrels per day for the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$126,641 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
40%
85美元
54%
80美元
73%
75美元
88%
70美元
89%
65美元
93%
63美元
95%
60美元
93%
56美元
96%
$55
96%
52美元
97%
50美元
97%
$126,641 交易量
90美元
$25,838 交易量
40%
85美元
$5,727 交易量
54%
80美元
$5,907 交易量
73%
75美元
$16,668 交易量
88%
70美元
$19,604 交易量
89%
65美元
$872 交易量
93%
63美元
$8,961 交易量
95%
60美元
$21,068 交易量
93%
56美元
$4,950 交易量
96%
$55
$2,914 交易量
96%
52美元
$6,031 交易量
97%
50美元
$8,100 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Middle East supply disruptions from the ongoing regional conflict have driven the primary catalyst for crude oil prices, with the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in April triggering sharp inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. These constraints have lifted benchmarks above $100 per barrel into late May, with EIA forecasts holding WTI around $106 through June amid limited spare capacity and reduced OPEC output following the UAE's exit. Weekly EIA inventory reports, potential de-escalation signals, and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term swing factors for end-of-June levels, while global demand growth remains subdued at roughly 0.2 million barrels per day for the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$126,641结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Middle East supply disruptions from the ongoing regional conflict have driven the primary catalyst for crude oil prices, with the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in April triggering sharp inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. These constraints have lifted benchmarks above $100 per barrel into late May, with EIA forecasts holding WTI around $106 through June amid limited spare capacity and reduced OPEC output following the UAE's exit. Weekly EIA inventory reports, potential de-escalation signals, and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term swing factors for end-of-June levels, while global demand growth remains subdued at roughly 0.2 million barrels per day for the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$126,641结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETMiddle East supply disruptions from the ongoing regional conflict have driven the primary catalyst for crude oil prices, with the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day in April triggering sharp inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. These constraints have lifted benchmarks above $100 per barrel into late May, with EIA forecasts holding WTI around $106 through June amid limited spare capacity and reduced OPEC output following the UAE's exit. Weekly EIA inventory reports, potential de-escalation signals, and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term swing factors for end-of-June levels, while global demand growth remains subdued at roughly 0.2 million barrels per day for the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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