Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$145,182 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
4%
85美元
21%
80美元
42%
75美元
66%
70美元
87%
65美元
93%
63美元
96%
60美元
96%
56美元
98%
$55
98%
52美元
99%
50美元
99%
$145,182 交易量
90美元
$29,016 交易量
4%
85美元
$8,719 交易量
21%
80美元
$6,856 交易量
42%
75美元
$17,999 交易量
66%
70美元
$20,744 交易量
87%
65美元
$1,045 交易量
93%
63美元
$9,491 交易量
96%
60美元
$26,586 交易量
96%
56美元
$5,222 交易量
98%
$55
$3,806 交易量
98%
52美元
$6,556 交易量
99%
50美元
$9,141 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$145,182结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$145,182结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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