Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, driven primarily by prolonged supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which have spiked front-month futures to over $105 per barrel in recent trading sessions. The June 2026 contract trades near $102-105, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium that overshadows bearish signals like OPEC+ production hikes and mixed US EIA inventory builds. Recent military actions and Iran's intermittent Hormuz closures have fueled volatility, with prices rebounding from intraday lows around $99 to test Fibonacci retracement levels near $110. Upcoming weekly EIA reports and potential ceasefire developments could sway sentiment, but sustained supply risks anchor elevated pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
>84美元 69%
77美元-84美元 21%
70美元至77美元 4.0%
$63-$70 3.4%
$152,746 交易量
$152,746 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
3%
70美元至77美元
4%
77美元-84美元
21%
>84美元
69%
>84美元 69%
77美元-84美元 21%
70美元至77美元 4.0%
$63-$70 3.4%
$152,746 交易量
$152,746 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
$17,066 交易量
2%
$42-$49
$5,756 交易量
1%
$49-$56
$6,643 交易量
1%
$56-$63
$6,291 交易量
3%
$63-$70
$19,944 交易量
3%
70美元至77美元
$11,191 交易量
4%
77美元-84美元
$12,652 交易量
21%
>84美元
$73,202 交易量
69%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, driven primarily by prolonged supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which have spiked front-month futures to over $105 per barrel in recent trading sessions. The June 2026 contract trades near $102-105, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium that overshadows bearish signals like OPEC+ production hikes and mixed US EIA inventory builds. Recent military actions and Iran's intermittent Hormuz closures have fueled volatility, with prices rebounding from intraday lows around $99 to test Fibonacci retracement levels near $110. Upcoming weekly EIA reports and potential ceasefire developments could sway sentiment, but sustained supply risks anchor elevated pricing.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$152,746结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, driven primarily by prolonged supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which have spiked front-month futures to over $105 per barrel in recent trading sessions. The June 2026 contract trades near $102-105, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium that overshadows bearish signals like OPEC+ production hikes and mixed US EIA inventory builds. Recent military actions and Iran's intermittent Hormuz closures have fueled volatility, with prices rebounding from intraday lows around $99 to test Fibonacci retracement levels near $110. Upcoming weekly EIA reports and potential ceasefire developments could sway sentiment, but sustained supply risks anchor elevated pricing.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$152,746结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, driven primarily by prolonged supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which have spiked front-month futures to over $105 per barrel in recent trading sessions. The June 2026 contract trades near $102-105, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium that overshadows bearish signals like OPEC+ production hikes and mixed US EIA inventory builds. Recent military actions and Iran's intermittent Hormuz closures have fueled volatility, with prices rebounding from intraday lows around $99 to test Fibonacci retracement levels near $110. Upcoming weekly EIA reports and potential ceasefire developments could sway sentiment, but sustained supply risks anchor elevated pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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