Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 55.5% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium amid the US-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026. Escalating strikes, partial Strait of Hormuz closures, and tanker disruptions have driven spot WTI above $102/bbl—up over 40% in March for a record monthly gain—while June futures hold near $95, pricing sustained supply fears despite OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting April. Soft longer-term fundamentals, including projected surpluses, cap enthusiasm for lower bins, with key swing factors like Iran-US negotiations and potential strategic reserve releases ahead of summer demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
>84美元 55%
77美元-84美元 20%
$63-$70 10%
70美元至77美元 9.0%
$92,403 交易量
$92,403 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
3%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
70美元至77美元
9%
77美元-84美元
20%
>84美元
55%
>84美元 55%
77美元-84美元 20%
$63-$70 10%
70美元至77美元 9.0%
$92,403 交易量
$92,403 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
$3,973 交易量
2%
$42-$49
$3,357 交易量
2%
$49-$56
$4,684 交易量
3%
$56-$63
$3,795 交易量
4%
$63-$70
$16,425 交易量
10%
70美元至77美元
$4,989 交易量
9%
77美元-84美元
$7,671 交易量
20%
>84美元
$47,509 交易量
55%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 55.5% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium amid the US-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026. Escalating strikes, partial Strait of Hormuz closures, and tanker disruptions have driven spot WTI above $102/bbl—up over 40% in March for a record monthly gain—while June futures hold near $95, pricing sustained supply fears despite OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting April. Soft longer-term fundamentals, including projected surpluses, cap enthusiasm for lower bins, with key swing factors like Iran-US negotiations and potential strategic reserve releases ahead of summer demand.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$92,403结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 55.5% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium amid the US-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026. Escalating strikes, partial Strait of Hormuz closures, and tanker disruptions have driven spot WTI above $102/bbl—up over 40% in March for a record monthly gain—while June futures hold near $95, pricing sustained supply fears despite OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting April. Soft longer-term fundamentals, including projected surpluses, cap enthusiasm for lower bins, with key swing factors like Iran-US negotiations and potential strategic reserve releases ahead of summer demand.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$92,403结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 55.5% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium amid the US-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026. Escalating strikes, partial Strait of Hormuz closures, and tanker disruptions have driven spot WTI above $102/bbl—up over 40% in March for a record monthly gain—while June futures hold near $95, pricing sustained supply fears despite OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike starting April. Soft longer-term fundamentals, including projected surpluses, cap enthusiasm for lower bins, with key swing factors like Iran-US negotiations and potential strategic reserve releases ahead of summer demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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