Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus on Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 30 in the $80-$100 range, with $80-$90 and $90-$100 bins each at 49.5% implied probability, mirroring current share price near $93 amid elevated short-term uncertainty. Recent subscription price hikes of $1-$2 across tiers, announced March 26, sparked modest gains and closed shares at $93.43 on March 27, but were offset by guidance flagging heavier 2026 content spending that pressures margins alongside Warner Bros. Discovery deal overhang. Key swing factors include subscriber churn risks versus ad-tier momentum in a competitive streaming landscape dominated by Disney+ and Prime Video, plus broader tech sector rotation; Q1 earnings loom April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$90-$100 58%
$80-$90 33%
$100-$110 18%
<$50 10.5%
<$50
11%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
10%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
33%
$90-$100
58%
$100-$110
18%
$110-$120
11%
$120-$130
11%
$130-$140
11%
>$140
6%
$90-$100 58%
$80-$90 33%
$100-$110 18%
<$50 10.5%
<$50
11%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
10%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
33%
$90-$100
58%
$100-$110
18%
$110-$120
11%
$120-$130
11%
$130-$140
11%
>$140
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus on Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 30 in the $80-$100 range, with $80-$90 and $90-$100 bins each at 49.5% implied probability, mirroring current share price near $93 amid elevated short-term uncertainty. Recent subscription price hikes of $1-$2 across tiers, announced March 26, sparked modest gains and closed shares at $93.43 on March 27, but were offset by guidance flagging heavier 2026 content spending that pressures margins alongside Warner Bros. Discovery deal overhang. Key swing factors include subscriber churn risks versus ad-tier momentum in a competitive streaming landscape dominated by Disney+ and Prime Video, plus broader tech sector rotation; Q1 earnings loom April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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