Traders overwhelmingly back no IPO for Clear Street Group before April 2026 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, banker engagements, or official announcements signaling public market plans from the cloud-native capital markets platform. The fintech, which provides prime brokerage services and trading infrastructure, last raised $165 million in Series B funding in 2022 at a roughly $2 billion valuation but has shown no urgency to go public amid a subdued IPO window for fintechs—high interest rates, volatile equity markets, and investor preference for profitability over growth have stalled similar listings. This strong consensus reflects real capital-aligned caution, though a surprise S-1 filing, strategic acquisition needs, or broader market thaw (e.g., Fed rate cuts boosting tech IPOs) could realistically shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年4月前不上市 99.7%
110亿–115亿 <1%
120亿美元+ <1%
90亿–95亿 <1%
$52,472 交易量
$52,472 交易量
低于90亿美元
<1%
90亿–95亿
<1%
95亿–100亿
<1%
100亿–105亿
<1%
105亿–110亿
<1%
110亿–115亿
<1%
115亿–120亿
<1%
120亿美元+
<1%
2026年4月前不上市
100%
2026年4月前不上市 99.7%
110亿–115亿 <1%
120亿美元+ <1%
90亿–95亿 <1%
$52,472 交易量
$52,472 交易量
低于90亿美元
<1%
90亿–95亿
<1%
95亿–100亿
<1%
100亿–105亿
<1%
105亿–110亿
<1%
110亿–115亿
<1%
115亿–120亿
<1%
120亿美元+
<1%
2026年4月前不上市
100%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly back no IPO for Clear Street Group before April 2026 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, banker engagements, or official announcements signaling public market plans from the cloud-native capital markets platform. The fintech, which provides prime brokerage services and trading infrastructure, last raised $165 million in Series B funding in 2022 at a roughly $2 billion valuation but has shown no urgency to go public amid a subdued IPO window for fintechs—high interest rates, volatile equity markets, and investor preference for profitability over growth have stalled similar listings. This strong consensus reflects real capital-aligned caution, though a surprise S-1 filing, strategic acquisition needs, or broader market thaw (e.g., Fed rate cuts boosting tech IPOs) could realistically shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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