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3月31日的第二大富豪？

Market icon

3月31日的第二大富豪？

拉里·佩奇 95.8%

杰夫·贝索斯 2.5%

谢尔盖·布林 1.0%

埃隆·马斯克 <1%

Polymarket

$224,348 交易量

拉里·佩奇 95.8%

杰夫·贝索斯 2.5%

谢尔盖·布林 1.0%

埃隆·马斯克 <1%

Polymarket

$224,348 交易量

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拉里·佩奇

$123,450 交易量

96%

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杰夫·贝索斯

$14,889 交易量

3%

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谢尔盖·布林

$15,156 交易量

1%

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埃隆·马斯克

$14,021 交易量

1%

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马克·扎克伯格

$34,057 交易量

<1%

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贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$0 交易量

<1%

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史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$0 交易量

<1%

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沃伦·巴菲特

$0 交易量

<1%

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拉里·埃里森

$8,506 交易量

<1%

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黄仁勋

$14,269 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus crowns Larry Page as the overwhelming frontrunner at 94.8% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person on March 31, propelled by Alphabet's stellar stock surge over the past week—up nearly 5% amid AI momentum from Gemini model updates and strong ad revenue outlooks—pushing his net worth past $140 billion and widening the lead over rivals. This positions him firmly behind Elon Musk's top spot while outpacing Jeff Bezos (3.9%), whose Amazon shares have treaded water amid e-commerce slowdowns. With quarter-end snapshots imminent, upsets remain slim but could arise from surprise Tesla volatility eroding Musk's lead or a late Amazon rally, though current trajectories favor stability in the billionaire rankings.

Trader consensus crowns Larry Page as the overwhelming frontrunner at 94.8% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person on March 31, propelled by Alphabet's stellar stock surge over the past week—up nearly 5% amid AI momentum from Gemini model updates and strong ad revenue outlooks—pushing his net worth past $140 billion and widening the lead over rivals. This positions him firmly behind Elon Musk's top spot while outpacing Jeff Bezos (3.9%), whose Amazon shares have treaded water amid e-commerce slowdowns. With quarter-end snapshots imminent, upsets remain slim but could arise from surprise Tesla volatility eroding Musk's lead or a late Amazon rally, though current trajectories favor stability in the billionaire rankings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus crowns Larry Page as the overwhelming frontrunner at 94.8% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person on March 31, propelled by Alphabet's stellar stock surge over the past week—up nearly 5% amid AI momentum from Gemini model updates and strong ad revenue outlooks—pushing his net worth past $140 billion and widening the lead over rivals. This positions him firmly behind Elon Musk's top spot while outpacing Jeff Bezos (3.9%), whose Amazon shares have treaded water amid e-commerce slowdowns. With quarter-end snapshots imminent, upsets remain slim but could arise from surprise Tesla volatility eroding Musk's lead or a late Amazon rally, though current trajectories favor stability in the billionaire rankings.

Trader consensus crowns Larry Page as the overwhelming frontrunner at 94.8% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person on March 31, propelled by Alphabet's stellar stock surge over the past week—up nearly 5% amid AI momentum from Gemini model updates and strong ad revenue outlooks—pushing his net worth past $140 billion and widening the lead over rivals. This positions him firmly behind Elon Musk's top spot while outpacing Jeff Bezos (3.9%), whose Amazon shares have treaded water amid e-commerce slowdowns. With quarter-end snapshots imminent, upsets remain slim but could arise from surprise Tesla volatility eroding Musk's lead or a late Amazon rally, though current trajectories favor stability in the billionaire rankings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月31日的第二大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 96%，其次是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"3月31日的第二大富豪？"已产生 $224.3K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月31日的第二大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月31日的第二大富豪？"的当前领先者是"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月31日的第二大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。