Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ or FBI investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, despite earlier speculation tied to a now-de-escalated Pentagon dispute. In late February 2026, Amodei refused demands to lift Claude AI safety guardrails for military applications, prompting a supply chain risk designation and contract halts, but Anthropic's March lawsuit yielded favorable court rulings by late March pausing punitive measures as potential retaliation. No new legal actions have emerged in the past 30 days, bolstering high confidence through June 30 resolution. Late-breaking criminal probes or unrelated scandals remain the only realistic shifts, though currently absent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$146,136 交易量
$146,136 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$146,136 交易量
$146,136 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ or FBI investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, despite earlier speculation tied to a now-de-escalated Pentagon dispute. In late February 2026, Amodei refused demands to lift Claude AI safety guardrails for military applications, prompting a supply chain risk designation and contract halts, but Anthropic's March lawsuit yielded favorable court rulings by late March pausing punitive measures as potential retaliation. No new legal actions have emerged in the past 30 days, bolstering high confidence through June 30 resolution. Late-breaking criminal probes or unrelated scandals remain the only realistic shifts, though currently absent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$146,136结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ or FBI investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, despite earlier speculation tied to a now-de-escalated Pentagon dispute. In late February 2026, Amodei refused demands to lift Claude AI safety guardrails for military applications, prompting a supply chain risk designation and contract halts, but Anthropic's March lawsuit yielded favorable court rulings by late March pausing punitive measures as potential retaliation. No new legal actions have emerged in the past 30 days, bolstering high confidence through June 30 resolution. Late-breaking criminal probes or unrelated scandals remain the only realistic shifts, though currently absent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$146,136结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ or FBI investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, despite earlier speculation tied to a now-de-escalated Pentagon dispute. In late February 2026, Amodei refused demands to lift Claude AI safety guardrails for military applications, prompting a supply chain risk designation and contract halts, but Anthropic's March lawsuit yielded favorable court rulings by late March pausing punitive measures as potential retaliation. No new legal actions have emerged in the past 30 days, bolstering high confidence through June 30 resolution. Late-breaking criminal probes or unrelated scandals remain the only realistic shifts, though currently absent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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