Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) text leaderboard—style control off—as of early April 2026, excelling in text, code, document, and search arenas with Elo scores around 1525, cementing trader consensus on their current dominance amid tight competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. Recent catalysts include Google's Gemma 4 debuting third on open-source rankings despite its smaller 31B parameter size and Meta's April 8 launch of the Muse Spark model to challenge frontier leaders. With new large language model releases from xAI (Grok-4.20 updates) and others expected before June 30, leaderboard volatility remains high, as demonstrated capability jumps often propel challengers to #1 on this crowdsourced benchmark resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,417,948 交易量
2026-06-30
OpenAI
28%
xAI
11%
DeepSeek
9%
Meta
8%
阿里巴巴
7%
Z.ai
5%
百度
4%
英伟达
4%
美团
3%
Mistral
1%
$1,417,948 交易量
OpenAI
$351,807 交易量
28%
xAI
$541,395 交易量
11%
DeepSeek
$226,240 交易量
9%
Meta
$14,147 交易量
8%
阿里巴巴
$4,776 交易量
7%
Z.ai
$4,572 交易量
5%
百度
$1,924 交易量
4%
英伟达
$5,904 交易量
4%
美团
$2,712 交易量
3%
Mistral
$6,500 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) text leaderboard—style control off—as of early April 2026, excelling in text, code, document, and search arenas with Elo scores around 1525, cementing trader consensus on their current dominance amid tight competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. Recent catalysts include Google's Gemma 4 debuting third on open-source rankings despite its smaller 31B parameter size and Meta's April 8 launch of the Muse Spark model to challenge frontier leaders. With new large language model releases from xAI (Grok-4.20 updates) and others expected before June 30, leaderboard volatility remains high, as demonstrated capability jumps often propel challengers to #1 on this crowdsourced benchmark resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,417,948结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) text leaderboard—style control off—as of early April 2026, excelling in text, code, document, and search arenas with Elo scores around 1525, cementing trader consensus on their current dominance amid tight competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. Recent catalysts include Google's Gemma 4 debuting third on open-source rankings despite its smaller 31B parameter size and Meta's April 8 launch of the Muse Spark model to challenge frontier leaders. With new large language model releases from xAI (Grok-4.20 updates) and others expected before June 30, leaderboard volatility remains high, as demonstrated capability jumps often propel challengers to #1 on this crowdsourced benchmark resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$1,417,948结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) text leaderboard—style control off—as of early April 2026, excelling in text, code, document, and search arenas with Elo scores around 1525, cementing trader consensus on their current dominance amid tight competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. Recent catalysts include Google's Gemma 4 debuting third on open-source rankings despite its smaller 31B parameter size and Meta's April 8 launch of the Muse Spark model to challenge frontier leaders. With new large language model releases from xAI (Grok-4.20 updates) and others expected before June 30, leaderboard volatility remains high, as demonstrated capability jumps often propel challengers to #1 on this crowdsourced benchmark resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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