Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 73% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' prolonged delays on Bond 26—now facing the franchise's longest gap in 64 years, with release at least two years away amid script rewrites and director searches like Denis Villeneuve. Callum Turner leads contenders at 4.7% on lingering buzz from early 2026 rumors that he privately boasted of landing the role, though he dodged questions at Berlin events; Jacob Elordi's recent surge to 3.6% stems from fresh industry chatter positioning him in "pole position" after reported meetings with producers. Lower odds for Aaron Taylor-Johnson and others reflect cooled speculation without guild or precursor signals, with high uncertainty until an official announcement amid secret casting dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 73%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 4.7%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.6%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.0%
$2,169,974 交易量
$2,169,974 交易量
尚未选出邦德
73%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
5%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
汤姆·霍兰德
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
杰克·洛登
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
尚未选出邦德 73%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 4.7%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.6%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.0%
$2,169,974 交易量
$2,169,974 交易量
尚未选出邦德
73%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
5%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
汤姆·霍兰德
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
杰克·洛登
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 73% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' prolonged delays on Bond 26—now facing the franchise's longest gap in 64 years, with release at least two years away amid script rewrites and director searches like Denis Villeneuve. Callum Turner leads contenders at 4.7% on lingering buzz from early 2026 rumors that he privately boasted of landing the role, though he dodged questions at Berlin events; Jacob Elordi's recent surge to 3.6% stems from fresh industry chatter positioning him in "pole position" after reported meetings with producers. Lower odds for Aaron Taylor-Johnson and others reflect cooled speculation without guild or precursor signals, with high uncertainty until an official announcement amid secret casting dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题