Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond casting announcement at 70.5%, reflecting Bond 26's early pre-production phase under potential director Denis Villeneuve and writer Steven Knight, with producers Barbara Broccoli emphasizing deliberate pacing absent any official reveal by April 2026. Callum Turner's 14.5% implied probability surged in mid-March following his coy Berlin Film Festival response to rumors—"I'm not going to comment"—and industry reports dubbing his frontrunner status the "worst-kept secret," doubling his Polymarket odds amid rising buzz from Masters of the Air acclaim. Lower-tier contenders like James Norton (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) linger on faded speculation, but uncertainty persists until guild-aligned casting news or a 2027 filming start shifts momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 71%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 15%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿 3.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.8%
$1,655,709 交易量
$1,655,709 交易量
尚未选出邦德
71%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
15%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
3%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
2%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
1%
杰克·洛登
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
尚未选出邦德 71%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 15%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿 3.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 2.8%
$1,655,709 交易量
$1,655,709 交易量
尚未选出邦德
71%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
15%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
3%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
2%
亨利·卡维尔
2%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
1%
杰克·洛登
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond casting announcement at 70.5%, reflecting Bond 26's early pre-production phase under potential director Denis Villeneuve and writer Steven Knight, with producers Barbara Broccoli emphasizing deliberate pacing absent any official reveal by April 2026. Callum Turner's 14.5% implied probability surged in mid-March following his coy Berlin Film Festival response to rumors—"I'm not going to comment"—and industry reports dubbing his frontrunner status the "worst-kept secret," doubling his Polymarket odds amid rising buzz from Masters of the Air acclaim. Lower-tier contenders like James Norton (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) linger on faded speculation, but uncertainty persists until guild-aligned casting news or a 2027 filming start shifts momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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