**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has set an exceptionally high bar for 2026, yet trader sentiment favors it for second place behind Avengers: Doomsday.** Strong advance ticket sales for Doomsday—already exceeding $50 million months before its December 18 release—signal robust franchise momentum and holiday timing that could push it past $300 million and claim the top spot. This dynamic leaves Brand New Day as the consensus pick for runner-up, given its unmatched summer debut and the gap to earlier releases like Toy Story 5 (~$160 million). Lower-probability contenders such as Dune: Messiah face steeper competition and more modest tracking, while the field’s tight clustering around 50% reflects uncertainty over whether any other late-year title can meaningfully challenge the top two. Upcoming chart updates and final Doomsday presale figures will serve as key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？
哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Avengers: Doomsday 48%
Dune: Messiah <1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$117,712 交易量
$117,712 交易量
2026-12-31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
48%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Avengers: Doomsday 48%
Dune: Messiah <1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$117,712 交易量
$117,712 交易量
2026-12-31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$59,903 交易量
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
$45,430 交易量
48%
Dune: Messiah
$7,938 交易量
<1%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 交易量
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has set an exceptionally high bar for 2026, yet trader sentiment favors it for second place behind Avengers: Doomsday.** Strong advance ticket sales for Doomsday—already exceeding $50 million months before its December 18 release—signal robust franchise momentum and holiday timing that could push it past $300 million and claim the top spot. This dynamic leaves Brand New Day as the consensus pick for runner-up, given its unmatched summer debut and the gap to earlier releases like Toy Story 5 (~$160 million). Lower-probability contenders such as Dune: Messiah face steeper competition and more modest tracking, while the field’s tight clustering around 50% reflects uncertainty over whether any other late-year title can meaningfully challenge the top two. Upcoming chart updates and final Doomsday presale figures will serve as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$117,712结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has set an exceptionally high bar for 2026, yet trader sentiment favors it for second place behind Avengers: Doomsday.** Strong advance ticket sales for Doomsday—already exceeding $50 million months before its December 18 release—signal robust franchise momentum and holiday timing that could push it past $300 million and claim the top spot. This dynamic leaves Brand New Day as the consensus pick for runner-up, given its unmatched summer debut and the gap to earlier releases like Toy Story 5 (~$160 million). Lower-probability contenders such as Dune: Messiah face steeper competition and more modest tracking, while the field’s tight clustering around 50% reflects uncertainty over whether any other late-year title can meaningfully challenge the top two. Upcoming chart updates and final Doomsday presale figures will serve as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$117,712结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has set an exceptionally high bar for 2026, yet trader sentiment favors it for second place behind Avengers: Doomsday.** Strong advance ticket sales for Doomsday—already exceeding $50 million months before its December 18 release—signal robust franchise momentum and holiday timing that could push it past $300 million and claim the top spot. This dynamic leaves Brand New Day as the consensus pick for runner-up, given its unmatched summer debut and the gap to earlier releases like Toy Story 5 (~$160 million). Lower-probability contenders such as Dune: Messiah face steeper competition and more modest tracking, while the field’s tight clustering around 50% reflects uncertainty over whether any other late-year title can meaningfully challenge the top two. Upcoming chart updates and final Doomsday presale figures will serve as key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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