What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M 交易量

$421K today

$2M Liq.

353

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

52%

The Odyssey

$10.9K 交易量

$23.4K Liq.

6

Ends 11 个月内

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

60%

Silver

$17.0K 交易量

$28.2K Liq.

Ends 26 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

63%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

108

Ends 3 个月内

Anime Awards: Best Anime Opening Sequence Winner

Anime Awards: Best Anime Opening Sequence Winner

46%

"Mirage" by Creepy Nuts (Call of the Night Season 2)

$0 交易量

$380 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Anime Awards: Best Anime Ending Sequence Winner

Anime Awards: Best Anime Ending Sequence Winner

47%

"I" by BUMP OF CHICKEN (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)

$0 交易量

$320 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

17%

↑ 1.80

$298K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

10

Ends 9 个月内

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

46%

160-179

$3.5K 交易量

$36.2K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

73%

↑ $3.00

$78.9K 交易量

$88.0K Liq.

1

Ends 27 天内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$439K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

27

Anime Awards: Best Slice of Life Anime Winner

Anime Awards: Best Slice of Life Anime Winner

48%

SPY x FAMILY Season 3

$1 交易量

$164 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

68%

No Bond chosen

$2M 交易量

$120K Liq.

16

Ends 3 个月内

Anime Awards: Best Character Design Winner

Anime Awards: Best Character Design Winner

44%

Takopi's Original Sin

$0 交易量

$645 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

75%

Trump

$1.1K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

Anime Awards: Best Continuing Series Winner

Anime Awards: Best Continuing Series Winner

47%

Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-

$0 交易量

$573 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Anime Awards: Best Anime Main Character Winner

Anime Awards: Best Anime Main Character Winner

45%

Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)

$0 交易量

$150 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Anime Awards: Best Drama Anime Winner

Anime Awards: Best Drama Anime Winner

48%

Takopi's Original Sin

$0 交易量

$408 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Anime Awards: Best Isekai Anime Winner

Anime Awards: Best Isekai Anime Winner

45%

Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2

$0 交易量

$103 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

74%

Trump

$8 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

88%

July 31

$932K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

4

Ends 9 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 艾美奖 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 100 个活跃的 艾美奖 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $6.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH airdrop by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH airdrop by...?",市场目前认为 June 30, 2026 的概率为 63%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 艾美奖 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。