Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳女主角
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳女主角
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$131,371 交易量
$131,371 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
13%
Renate Reinsve
10%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
2%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$131,371 交易量
$131,371 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
$88,486 交易量
64%
Inde Navarrette
$24,326 交易量
13%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 交易量
10%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 交易量
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 交易量
2%
Ruth Madeley
$711 交易量
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 交易量
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 交易量
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 交易量
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 交易量
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$131,371结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$131,371结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETJulianne Moore’s performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has emerged as the clearest early driver of trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actress race, fueled by strong reviews following its Telluride premiere and positioning her as the market frontrunner. The Academy’s recent comfort with repeat winners and the film’s blend of critical buzz and studio support have lifted implied probabilities for Moore well above the field. Other contenders, including Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve in *Fjord*, and Sandra Hüller projects, sit lower amid a wide-open field where few 2026 releases have screened widely. With Venice, Toronto, and New York festivals still ahead, along with guild and critics’ awards later, the current spread reflects speculative positioning rather than locked consensus, leaving room for momentum shifts once more reviews and precursor results arrive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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