Narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) have constrained legislative progress, fostering trader consensus that President Trump will sign 0-3 pieces of legislation in April, with 1 (37%), 2 (36%), 3 (35.5%), and 0 (34.5%) tightly clustered. The March 14 continuing resolution averting a government shutdown marked Trump's first major bill signature, but April has seen minimal floor action amid holdouts from fiscal conservatives on spending and delays in advancing budget reconciliation for tax cuts. Executive orders on border security and energy deregulation have dominated, reducing urgency for new laws. Upcoming committee markups on appropriations minibus packages or border policy riders could accelerate passage, potentially boosting higher outcomes like 6 (35.5%) if bundled votes succeed before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2 36%
3 36%
6 35%
0 35%
$11,917 交易量
$11,917 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
0
35%
1
37%
2
36%
3
36%
4
21%
5
30%
6
35%
7+
16%
2 36%
3 36%
6 35%
0 35%
$11,917 交易量
$11,917 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
0
$0 交易量
35%
1
$4 交易量
37%
2
$0 交易量
36%
3
$0 交易量
36%
4
$5,973 交易量
21%
5
$0 交易量
30%
6
$0 交易量
35%
7+
$5,940 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) have constrained legislative progress, fostering trader consensus that President Trump will sign 0-3 pieces of legislation in April, with 1 (37%), 2 (36%), 3 (35.5%), and 0 (34.5%) tightly clustered. The March 14 continuing resolution averting a government shutdown marked Trump's first major bill signature, but April has seen minimal floor action amid holdouts from fiscal conservatives on spending and delays in advancing budget reconciliation for tax cuts. Executive orders on border security and energy deregulation have dominated, reducing urgency for new laws. Upcoming committee markups on appropriations minibus packages or border policy riders could accelerate passage, potentially boosting higher outcomes like 6 (35.5%) if bundled votes succeed before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
交易量
$11,917结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) have constrained legislative progress, fostering trader consensus that President Trump will sign 0-3 pieces of legislation in April, with 1 (37%), 2 (36%), 3 (35.5%), and 0 (34.5%) tightly clustered. The March 14 continuing resolution averting a government shutdown marked Trump's first major bill signature, but April has seen minimal floor action amid holdouts from fiscal conservatives on spending and delays in advancing budget reconciliation for tax cuts. Executive orders on border security and energy deregulation have dominated, reducing urgency for new laws. Upcoming committee markups on appropriations minibus packages or border policy riders could accelerate passage, potentially boosting higher outcomes like 6 (35.5%) if bundled votes succeed before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,917结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Narrow Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) have constrained legislative progress, fostering trader consensus that President Trump will sign 0-3 pieces of legislation in April, with 1 (37%), 2 (36%), 3 (35.5%), and 0 (34.5%) tightly clustered. The March 14 continuing resolution averting a government shutdown marked Trump's first major bill signature, but April has seen minimal floor action amid holdouts from fiscal conservatives on spending and delays in advancing budget reconciliation for tax cuts. Executive orders on border security and energy deregulation have dominated, reducing urgency for new laws. Upcoming committee markups on appropriations minibus packages or border policy riders could accelerate passage, potentially boosting higher outcomes like 6 (35.5%) if bundled votes succeed before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题