Market icon

特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?

Market icon

特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?

6 3.0%

8+ 2.5%

7 1.5%

2 <1%

Polymarket

$24,644 交易量

6 3.0%

8+ 2.5%

7 1.5%

2 <1%

Polymarket

$24,644 交易量

0

$5,267 交易量

<1%

1

$2,123 交易量

<1%

2

$7,070 交易量

1%

3

$2,556 交易量

1%

4

$1,757 交易量

56%

5

$3,153 交易量

30%

6

$2,086 交易量

3%

7

$445 交易量

2%

8+

$185 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4",概率为 56%,其次是"5",概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?"已产生 $24.6K 的总交易量(自Feb 26, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?"的当前领先者是"4",概率为 56%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。紧随其后的结果是"5",概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普将在3月份签署多少项立法?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。