Despite Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress and President Trump's stated support for voter eligibility reforms, the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) faces steep hurdles to enactment in 2026, reflected in traders' 89% implied probability of no signature. The House passed the bill in April 2025 by a wide margin, mandating proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, but it has languished in the Senate amid Democratic filibuster threats requiring 60 votes to overcome. Recent Senate inaction, coupled with competing priorities like budget reconciliation and foreign aid packages, reinforces trader consensus on gridlock, even as GOP leaders urge action ahead of midterm elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$124,455 交易量
$124,455 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$124,455 交易量
$124,455 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$124,455结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$124,455结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress and President Trump's stated support for voter eligibility reforms, the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) faces steep hurdles to enactment in 2026, reflected in traders' 89% implied probability of no signature. The House passed the bill in April 2025 by a wide margin, mandating proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, but it has languished in the Senate amid Democratic filibuster threats requiring 60 votes to overcome. Recent Senate inaction, coupled with competing priorities like budget reconciliation and foreign aid packages, reinforces trader consensus on gridlock, even as GOP leaders urge action ahead of midterm elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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