Virginia voters head to polls April 21 for a special election on a constitutional amendment allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts through 2030, implementing House Bill 29's map that shifts toward a stronger Democratic advantage for 2026 midterms before reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Trader consensus prices Yes passage at 86%, diverging from polls showing a tight race—such as Navigate's April 10-13 survey (50% Yes, 45% No among likely voters)—due to Democrats' overwhelming fundraising ($64 million vs. $22 million for opponents), high-profile endorsements from Barack Obama and Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia battlegrounds. The Supreme Court cleared the ballot in February, but low special election participation introduces uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$442,698 交易量
$442,698 交易量
2026-04-21
是
$442,698 交易量
$442,698 交易量
2026-04-21
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia voters head to polls April 21 for a special election on a constitutional amendment allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts through 2030, implementing House Bill 29's map that shifts toward a stronger Democratic advantage for 2026 midterms before reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Trader consensus prices Yes passage at 86%, diverging from polls showing a tight race—such as Navigate's April 10-13 survey (50% Yes, 45% No among likely voters)—due to Democrats' overwhelming fundraising ($64 million vs. $22 million for opponents), high-profile endorsements from Barack Obama and Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia battlegrounds. The Supreme Court cleared the ballot in February, but low special election participation introduces uncertainty.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$442,698结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia voters head to polls April 21 for a special election on a constitutional amendment allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts through 2030, implementing House Bill 29's map that shifts toward a stronger Democratic advantage for 2026 midterms before reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Trader consensus prices Yes passage at 86%, diverging from polls showing a tight race—such as Navigate's April 10-13 survey (50% Yes, 45% No among likely voters)—due to Democrats' overwhelming fundraising ($64 million vs. $22 million for opponents), high-profile endorsements from Barack Obama and Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia battlegrounds. The Supreme Court cleared the ballot in February, but low special election participation introduces uncertainty.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
交易量
$442,698结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters head to polls April 21 for a special election on a constitutional amendment allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts through 2030, implementing House Bill 29's map that shifts toward a stronger Democratic advantage for 2026 midterms before reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Trader consensus prices Yes passage at 86%, diverging from polls showing a tight race—such as Navigate's April 10-13 survey (50% Yes, 45% No among likely voters)—due to Democrats' overwhelming fundraising ($64 million vs. $22 million for opponents), high-profile endorsements from Barack Obama and Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and robust early voting turnout surpassing 2025 gubernatorial levels, particularly in Northern Virginia battlegrounds. The Supreme Court cleared the ballot in February, but low special election participation introduces uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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