Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Yes outcome at 50% for Michigan voters approving a ballot measure to rewrite the state constitution, underscoring a closely contested race amid divided public opinion. Recent polling averages show support hovering near even, with Republicans favoring reforms to address perceived progressive overreach in areas like election rules and taxes, while Democrats warn of risks to enshrined rights such as abortion access from 2022's Proposal 3. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week, but intensified ad spending, candidate endorsements, and voter turnout in battleground counties like Macomb and Oakland could tip the scales. Historical precedent favors narrow defeats for broad constitutional rewrites, heightening uncertainty ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Yes outcome at 50% for Michigan voters approving a ballot measure to rewrite the state constitution, underscoring a closely contested race amid divided public opinion. Recent polling averages show support hovering near even, with Republicans favoring reforms to address perceived progressive overreach in areas like election rules and taxes, while Democrats warn of risks to enshrined rights such as abortion access from 2022's Proposal 3. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week, but intensified ad spending, candidate endorsements, and voter turnout in battleground counties like Macomb and Oakland could tip the scales. Historical precedent favors narrow defeats for broad constitutional rewrites, heightening uncertainty ahead of election day.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Yes outcome at 50% for Michigan voters approving a ballot measure to rewrite the state constitution, underscoring a closely contested race amid divided public opinion. Recent polling averages show support hovering near even, with Republicans favoring reforms to address perceived progressive overreach in areas like election rules and taxes, while Democrats warn of risks to enshrined rights such as abortion access from 2022's Proposal 3. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week, but intensified ad spending, candidate endorsements, and voter turnout in battleground counties like Macomb and Oakland could tip the scales. Historical precedent favors narrow defeats for broad constitutional rewrites, heightening uncertainty ahead of election day.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Yes outcome at 50% for Michigan voters approving a ballot measure to rewrite the state constitution, underscoring a closely contested race amid divided public opinion. Recent polling averages show support hovering near even, with Republicans favoring reforms to address perceived progressive overreach in areas like election rules and taxes, while Democrats warn of risks to enshrined rights such as abortion access from 2022's Proposal 3. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week, but intensified ad spending, candidate endorsements, and voter turnout in battleground counties like Macomb and Oakland could tip the scales. Historical precedent favors narrow defeats for broad constitutional rewrites, heightening uncertainty ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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