The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, shaped by its suburban San Diego demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent House races, drives the current trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a commanding 93.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away in November 2026, limited early activity from Republican challengers and no major shifts in statewide polling trends have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a high-profile Republican candidate entering the race, a significant national political wave favoring the GOP, or late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected endorsements that energize the opposing side.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,086 交易量
$36,086 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$36,086 交易量
$36,086 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,763 交易量
94%
共和党
$15,322 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, shaped by its suburban San Diego demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent House races, drives the current trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a commanding 93.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away in November 2026, limited early activity from Republican challengers and no major shifts in statewide polling trends have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a high-profile Republican candidate entering the race, a significant national political wave favoring the GOP, or late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected endorsements that energize the opposing side.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$36,086结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, shaped by its suburban San Diego demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent House races, drives the current trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a commanding 93.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away in November 2026, limited early activity from Republican challengers and no major shifts in statewide polling trends have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a high-profile Republican candidate entering the race, a significant national political wave favoring the GOP, or late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected endorsements that energize the opposing side.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,086结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, shaped by its suburban San Diego demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent House races, drives the current trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a commanding 93.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away in November 2026, limited early activity from Republican challengers and no major shifts in statewide polling trends have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a high-profile Republican candidate entering the race, a significant national political wave favoring the GOP, or late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected endorsements that energize the opposing side.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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