The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report and consistently viewed as Likely Republican by major forecasters. This positioning stems from the district’s voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with the March 2026 primary process that produced nominee Brandon Herrera after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew and resigned amid internal party pressure. Early general-election surveys show Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout competitive in head-to-head matchups but trailing overall. Midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance continue to anchor trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,384 交易量
$22,384 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
25%
$22,384 交易量
$22,384 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,382 交易量
75%
民主党
$10,002 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report and consistently viewed as Likely Republican by major forecasters. This positioning stems from the district’s voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with the March 2026 primary process that produced nominee Brandon Herrera after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew and resigned amid internal party pressure. Early general-election surveys show Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout competitive in head-to-head matchups but trailing overall. Midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance continue to anchor trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$22,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report and consistently viewed as Likely Republican by major forecasters. This positioning stems from the district’s voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with the March 2026 primary process that produced nominee Brandon Herrera after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew and resigned amid internal party pressure. Early general-election surveys show Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout competitive in head-to-head matchups but trailing overall. Midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance continue to anchor trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas’s 23rd congressional district, rated R+7 by the Cook Political Report and consistently viewed as Likely Republican by major forecasters. This positioning stems from the district’s voting history, including strong Republican performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with the March 2026 primary process that produced nominee Brandon Herrera after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew and resigned amid internal party pressure. Early general-election surveys show Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout competitive in head-to-head matchups but trailing overall. Midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the district’s underlying partisan balance continue to anchor trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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