Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and repeated victories in recent cycles, which underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat became open after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid a personal scandal that ended his renomination bid, shifting focus to the March primary where Brandon Herrera advanced to the May 26 runoff. Democratic candidate Katy Padilla Stout similarly moved to a runoff, yet early general-election polling and the district's border-region dynamics continue to limit Democratic prospects ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,151 交易量
$19,151 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
14%
$19,151 交易量
$19,151 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,789 交易量
77%
民主党
$8,363 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and repeated victories in recent cycles, which underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat became open after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid a personal scandal that ended his renomination bid, shifting focus to the March primary where Brandon Herrera advanced to the May 26 runoff. Democratic candidate Katy Padilla Stout similarly moved to a runoff, yet early general-election polling and the district's border-region dynamics continue to limit Democratic prospects ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$19,151结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and repeated victories in recent cycles, which underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat became open after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid a personal scandal that ended his renomination bid, shifting focus to the March primary where Brandon Herrera advanced to the May 26 runoff. Democratic candidate Katy Padilla Stout similarly moved to a runoff, yet early general-election polling and the district's border-region dynamics continue to limit Democratic prospects ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,151结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and repeated victories in recent cycles, which underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat became open after incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid a personal scandal that ended his renomination bid, shifting focus to the March primary where Brandon Herrera advanced to the May 26 runoff. Democratic candidate Katy Padilla Stout similarly moved to a runoff, yet early general-election polling and the district's border-region dynamics continue to limit Democratic prospects ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题