Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% implied probability to hold Texas' 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report and Trump’s 15-point 2024 margin amid post-redistricting conservative lean. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera advanced unopposed after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a tied March 3 primary finish, pressured by scandals including an alleged staff affair and ethics probe; Gonzales resigned April 14, vacating the seat but not altering election dynamics. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright, with Democrats eyeing Latino voters and Herrera’s controversies, though sparse polls like a March PPP survey show Herrera edging ahead 42%-40%. National Republicans deem the district deep red despite the open race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,643 交易量
$14,643 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
66%
民主党
32%
$14,643 交易量
$14,643 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,984 交易量
66%
民主党
$6,659 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% implied probability to hold Texas' 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report and Trump’s 15-point 2024 margin amid post-redistricting conservative lean. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera advanced unopposed after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a tied March 3 primary finish, pressured by scandals including an alleged staff affair and ethics probe; Gonzales resigned April 14, vacating the seat but not altering election dynamics. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright, with Democrats eyeing Latino voters and Herrera’s controversies, though sparse polls like a March PPP survey show Herrera edging ahead 42%-40%. National Republicans deem the district deep red despite the open race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,643结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% implied probability to hold Texas' 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report and Trump’s 15-point 2024 margin amid post-redistricting conservative lean. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera advanced unopposed after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a tied March 3 primary finish, pressured by scandals including an alleged staff affair and ethics probe; Gonzales resigned April 14, vacating the seat but not altering election dynamics. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright, with Democrats eyeing Latino voters and Herrera’s controversies, though sparse polls like a March PPP survey show Herrera edging ahead 42%-40%. National Republicans deem the district deep red despite the open race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,643结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% implied probability to hold Texas' 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating per Cook Political Report and Trump’s 15-point 2024 margin amid post-redistricting conservative lean. GOP nominee Brandon Herrera advanced unopposed after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a tied March 3 primary finish, pressured by scandals including an alleged staff affair and ethics probe; Gonzales resigned April 14, vacating the seat but not altering election dynamics. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright, with Democrats eyeing Latino voters and Herrera’s controversies, though sparse polls like a March PPP survey show Herrera edging ahead 42%-40%. National Republicans deem the district deep red despite the open race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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