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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Moderate Party (M) 66%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 23%

Green Party (MP) 1.9%

Liberals (L) 1.8%

Polymarket
最新

Moderate Party (M) 66%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 23%

Green Party (MP) 1.9%

Liberals (L) 1.8%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$306 交易量

2%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$500 交易量

23%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$411 交易量

66%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$594 交易量

2%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$551 交易量

1%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$599 交易量

1%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$527 交易量

2%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$500 交易量

2%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$681 交易量

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 33 percent, with the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party clustered in the high teens. This positioning leaves the Moderates as the most probable third-place finisher, consistent with the market’s 65.5 percent consensus, while the Sweden Democrats’ 22.5 percent price reflects residual uncertainty over whether they can maintain their narrow edge. Smaller parties trail far behind and show little momentum. The right-of-center government’s ongoing efforts to formalize cooperation ahead of the vote have not reversed the opposition’s advantage in recent surveys, keeping the ordering of the top three parties the dominant factor in trader assessments.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$4,668
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 33 percent, with the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party clustered in the high teens. This positioning leaves the Moderates as the most probable third-place finisher, consistent with the market’s 65.5 percent consensus, while the Sweden Democrats’ 22.5 percent price reflects residual uncertainty over whether they can maintain their narrow edge. Smaller parties trail far behind and show little momentum. The right-of-center government’s ongoing efforts to formalize cooperation ahead of the vote have not reversed the opposition’s advantage in recent surveys, keeping the ordering of the top three parties the dominant factor in trader assessments.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$4,668
结束日期
2026-09-13
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Moderate Party (M)",概率为 66%,其次是"Sweden Democrats (SD)",概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 66¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 66%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 19, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place"的当前领先者是"Moderate Party (M)",概率为 66%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 66%。紧随其后的结果是"Sweden Democrats (SD)",概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。