Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iván Cepeda Castro as the overwhelming first-round favorite for Colombia's May 31 presidential election, driven by his sustained polling lead of 34-37% in recent Centro Nacional de Consultoría and GAD3 surveys, bolstered by the Historic Pact's plurality win in the March 8 legislative elections despite a fragmented Congress. As President Gustavo Petro's leftist ally and confirmed candidate among 14 contenders, Cepeda benefits from vote splitting on the right, where Paloma Valencia has climbed to 22-24% on Democratic Center momentum and Abelardo de la Espriella holds 15-17%. Tight second-round polls highlight runoff uncertainty, with key upcoming primaries and debates poised to test consolidation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗 70%
帕洛玛·瓦伦西亚 20.5%
阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉 4.4%
胡安·卡洛斯·平松 1.1%
$1,669,419 交易量
$1,669,419 交易量
May 31, 2026
伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗
70%
帕洛玛·瓦伦西亚
21%
阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉
4%
胡安·卡洛斯·平松
1%
路易斯·吉尔伯托·穆里略
1%
古斯塔沃·博利瓦尔
1%
胡安·曼努埃尔·加兰
<1%
丹尼尔·金特罗
<1%
塞尔吉奥·法哈多
<1%
罗伊·巴雷拉斯
<1%
维奇·达维拉
<1%
大卫·卢纳·桑切斯
<1%
胡安·丹尼尔·奥维耶多
<1%
恩里克·佩尼亚洛萨
<1%
毛里西奥·卡尔德纳斯
<1%
克劳迪娅·洛佩斯
<1%
赫尔曼·巴尔加斯·耶拉斯
<1%
伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗 70%
帕洛玛·瓦伦西亚 20.5%
阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉 4.4%
胡安·卡洛斯·平松 1.1%
$1,669,419 交易量
$1,669,419 交易量
May 31, 2026
伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗
$48,338 交易量
70%
帕洛玛·瓦伦西亚
$207,092 交易量
21%
阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉
$465,863 交易量
4%
胡安·卡洛斯·平松
$35,711 交易量
1%
路易斯·吉尔伯托·穆里略
$92,239 交易量
1%
古斯塔沃·博利瓦尔
$71,261 交易量
1%
胡安·曼努埃尔·加兰
$66,168 交易量
<1%
丹尼尔·金特罗
$20,075 交易量
<1%
塞尔吉奥·法哈多
$48,668 交易量
<1%
罗伊·巴雷拉斯
$25,609 交易量
<1%
维奇·达维拉
$234,863 交易量
<1%
大卫·卢纳·桑切斯
$147,784 交易量
<1%
胡安·丹尼尔·奥维耶多
$32,885 交易量
<1%
恩里克·佩尼亚洛萨
$25,911 交易量
<1%
毛里西奥·卡尔德纳斯
$21,497 交易量
<1%
克劳迪娅·洛佩斯
$50,889 交易量
<1%
赫尔曼·巴尔加斯·耶拉斯
$38,064 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iván Cepeda Castro as the overwhelming first-round favorite for Colombia's May 31 presidential election, driven by his sustained polling lead of 34-37% in recent Centro Nacional de Consultoría and GAD3 surveys, bolstered by the Historic Pact's plurality win in the March 8 legislative elections despite a fragmented Congress. As President Gustavo Petro's leftist ally and confirmed candidate among 14 contenders, Cepeda benefits from vote splitting on the right, where Paloma Valencia has climbed to 22-24% on Democratic Center momentum and Abelardo de la Espriella holds 15-17%. Tight second-round polls highlight runoff uncertainty, with key upcoming primaries and debates poised to test consolidation.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,669,419结束日期
May 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iván Cepeda Castro as the overwhelming first-round favorite for Colombia's May 31 presidential election, driven by his sustained polling lead of 34-37% in recent Centro Nacional de Consultoría and GAD3 surveys, bolstered by the Historic Pact's plurality win in the March 8 legislative elections despite a fragmented Congress. As President Gustavo Petro's leftist ally and confirmed candidate among 14 contenders, Cepeda benefits from vote splitting on the right, where Paloma Valencia has climbed to 22-24% on Democratic Center momentum and Abelardo de la Espriella holds 15-17%. Tight second-round polls highlight runoff uncertainty, with key upcoming primaries and debates poised to test consolidation.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$1,669,419结束日期
May 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iván Cepeda Castro as the overwhelming first-round favorite for Colombia's May 31 presidential election, driven by his sustained polling lead of 34-37% in recent Centro Nacional de Consultoría and GAD3 surveys, bolstered by the Historic Pact's plurality win in the March 8 legislative elections despite a fragmented Congress. As President Gustavo Petro's leftist ally and confirmed candidate among 14 contenders, Cepeda benefits from vote splitting on the right, where Paloma Valencia has climbed to 22-24% on Democratic Center momentum and Abelardo de la Espriella holds 15-17%. Tight second-round polls highlight runoff uncertainty, with key upcoming primaries and debates poised to test consolidation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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