In Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after the incumbent's Senate campaign has anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee, supported by the area's established partisan leanings and solid Republican ratings from forecasters. The March primaries produced a Republican runoff between Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, with Bonck leading early surveys and holding a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. These steps highlight the district's structural advantages for Republicans heading into the November general election, consistent with historical voting patterns in similar Texas districts and minimal shifts from recent campaign activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,636 交易量
$15,636 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$15,636 交易量
$15,636 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,513 交易量
79%
民主党
$5,122 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after the incumbent's Senate campaign has anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee, supported by the area's established partisan leanings and solid Republican ratings from forecasters. The March primaries produced a Republican runoff between Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, with Bonck leading early surveys and holding a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. These steps highlight the district's structural advantages for Republicans heading into the November general election, consistent with historical voting patterns in similar Texas districts and minimal shifts from recent campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$15,636结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after the incumbent's Senate campaign has anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee, supported by the area's established partisan leanings and solid Republican ratings from forecasters. The March primaries produced a Republican runoff between Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, with Bonck leading early surveys and holding a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. These steps highlight the district's structural advantages for Republicans heading into the November general election, consistent with historical voting patterns in similar Texas districts and minimal shifts from recent campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,636结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after the incumbent's Senate campaign has anchored trader consensus around the Republican nominee, supported by the area's established partisan leanings and solid Republican ratings from forecasters. The March primaries produced a Republican runoff between Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos scheduled for May 26, with Bonck leading early surveys and holding a Trump endorsement, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. These steps highlight the district's structural advantages for Republicans heading into the November general election, consistent with historical voting patterns in similar Texas districts and minimal shifts from recent campaign activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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