Texas’s 21st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, with strong performances by the prior incumbent and double-digit margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles. The open seat following Chip Roy’s retirement to run for state attorney general drew a crowded March 2026 Republican primary, where former MLB player Mark Teixeira secured the nomination by a wide margin. Democrat Kristin Hook won her party’s primary, and both nominees now head to the November 3 general election alongside an independent. These results, combined with the district’s exurban and Hill Country voter base, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. National political shifts or turnout changes could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,660 交易量
$34,660 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$34,660 交易量
$34,660 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,014 交易量
81%
民主党
$15,645 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 21st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, with strong performances by the prior incumbent and double-digit margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles. The open seat following Chip Roy’s retirement to run for state attorney general drew a crowded March 2026 Republican primary, where former MLB player Mark Teixeira secured the nomination by a wide margin. Democrat Kristin Hook won her party’s primary, and both nominees now head to the November 3 general election alongside an independent. These results, combined with the district’s exurban and Hill Country voter base, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. National political shifts or turnout changes could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$34,660结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 21st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, with strong performances by the prior incumbent and double-digit margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles. The open seat following Chip Roy’s retirement to run for state attorney general drew a crowded March 2026 Republican primary, where former MLB player Mark Teixeira secured the nomination by a wide margin. Democrat Kristin Hook won her party’s primary, and both nominees now head to the November 3 general election alongside an independent. These results, combined with the district’s exurban and Hill Country voter base, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. National political shifts or turnout changes could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,660结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 21st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, with strong performances by the prior incumbent and double-digit margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles. The open seat following Chip Roy’s retirement to run for state attorney general drew a crowded March 2026 Republican primary, where former MLB player Mark Teixeira secured the nomination by a wide margin. Democrat Kristin Hook won her party’s primary, and both nominees now head to the November 3 general election alongside an independent. These results, combined with the district’s exurban and Hill Country voter base, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. National political shifts or turnout changes could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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