Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding lead in the PA-11 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean across Lancaster County and southern York County. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, supported by Smucker’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and uncontested primaries for both candidates. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,752 交易量
$25,752 交易量
2026-11-02
劳埃德·斯穆克（共和党）
97%
南希·曼宁（民主党）
2%
$25,752 交易量
$25,752 交易量
2026-11-02
劳埃德·斯穆克（共和党）
$15,668 交易量
97%
南希·曼宁（民主党）
$10,084 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding lead in the PA-11 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean across Lancaster County and southern York County. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, supported by Smucker’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and uncontested primaries for both candidates. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$25,752结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding lead in the PA-11 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean across Lancaster County and southern York County. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, supported by Smucker’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and uncontested primaries for both candidates. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,752结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding lead in the PA-11 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean across Lancaster County and southern York County. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, supported by Smucker’s established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and uncontested primaries for both candidates. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns that have favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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