In Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 88.5% implied probability, driven by incumbent Dan Meuser's strong track record—including a 38-point victory in 2022—and the district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, making it a safe Republican hold per race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with Democrat challenger Tom Biedrzycki trailing in fundraising and lacking competitive polling. The race remains low-profile amid a favorable national environment for House Republicans, though late surprises like scandals or turnout shifts could narrow odds before the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
89%
民主党
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 88.5% implied probability, driven by incumbent Dan Meuser's strong track record—including a 38-point victory in 2022—and the district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, making it a safe Republican hold per race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with Democrat challenger Tom Biedrzycki trailing in fundraising and lacking competitive polling. The race remains low-profile amid a favorable national environment for House Republicans, though late surprises like scandals or turnout shifts could narrow odds before the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 88.5% implied probability, driven by incumbent Dan Meuser's strong track record—including a 38-point victory in 2022—and the district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, making it a safe Republican hold per race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with Democrat challenger Tom Biedrzycki trailing in fundraising and lacking competitive polling. The race remains low-profile amid a favorable national environment for House Republicans, though late surprises like scandals or turnout shifts could narrow odds before the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 88.5% implied probability, driven by incumbent Dan Meuser's strong track record—including a 38-point victory in 2022—and the district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index, making it a safe Republican hold per race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with Democrat challenger Tom Biedrzycki trailing in fundraising and lacking competitive polling. The race remains low-profile amid a favorable national environment for House Republicans, though late surprises like scandals or turnout shifts could narrow odds before the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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