Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's dominant 83% win in the March 3 primary, paired with Democrat Lakesha Womack's narrower 52% victory on the same day, has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. The suburban Charlotte seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index—the 157th most Republican nationally—and supported Trump by 15 points, aligning with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Moore's prior 2024 general election margin of 58% and $1.5 million cash-on-hand further reinforce his incumbency advantage, though national midterm trends or turnout shifts could narrow the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
84%
民主党
15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
84%
民主党
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's dominant 83% win in the March 3 primary, paired with Democrat Lakesha Womack's narrower 52% victory on the same day, has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. The suburban Charlotte seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index—the 157th most Republican nationally—and supported Trump by 15 points, aligning with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Moore's prior 2024 general election margin of 58% and $1.5 million cash-on-hand further reinforce his incumbency advantage, though national midterm trends or turnout shifts could narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's dominant 83% win in the March 3 primary, paired with Democrat Lakesha Womack's narrower 52% victory on the same day, has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. The suburban Charlotte seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index—the 157th most Republican nationally—and supported Trump by 15 points, aligning with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Moore's prior 2024 general election margin of 58% and $1.5 million cash-on-hand further reinforce his incumbency advantage, though national midterm trends or turnout shifts could narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's dominant 83% win in the March 3 primary, paired with Democrat Lakesha Womack's narrower 52% victory on the same day, has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. The suburban Charlotte seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index—the 157th most Republican nationally—and supported Trump by 15 points, aligning with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Moore's prior 2024 general election margin of 58% and $1.5 million cash-on-hand further reinforce his incumbency advantage, though national midterm trends or turnout shifts could narrow the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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