Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins for the party in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moran advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrats remain in a May 26 runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's East Texas geography and historical electoral math favor the Republican nominee, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic performance in the runoff, a major national political wave, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking local issues that alter turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,625 交易量
94%
民主党
$3,487 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins for the party in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moran advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrats remain in a May 26 runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's East Texas geography and historical electoral math favor the Republican nominee, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic performance in the runoff, a major national political wave, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking local issues that alter turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$7,112结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins for the party in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moran advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrats remain in a May 26 runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's East Texas geography and historical electoral math favor the Republican nominee, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic performance in the runoff, a major national political wave, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking local issues that alter turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,112结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st congressional district race, driven by the area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong margins for the party in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moran advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrats remain in a May 26 runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's East Texas geography and historical electoral math favor the Republican nominee, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic performance in the runoff, a major national political wave, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking local issues that alter turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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