Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,934 交易量
$39,934 交易量
2026-11-02
乔·威尔逊（共和党）
92%
Zyon Khalifa（民主党）
5%
$39,934 交易量
$39,934 交易量
2026-11-02
乔·威尔逊（共和党）
$15,155 交易量
92%
Zyon Khalifa（民主党）
$24,779 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$39,934结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,934结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETJoe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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