Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in the SC-02 House election, anchored by the district's strong R+9 partisan voter index, incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's 20+ year tenure with consistent 20-point-plus margins in recent cycles (65%-35% in 2022), and superior fundraising amid minimal Democratic challenge. The Democratic Party outcome at 14% aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe Republican seats, where challengers rarely prevail absent scandals or national waves. Candidate-specific shares for A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%) trade tightly due to thinner volume. No significant developments in the past 30 days; early voting starts October 24 ahead of the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
85%
民主党
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in the SC-02 House election, anchored by the district's strong R+9 partisan voter index, incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's 20+ year tenure with consistent 20-point-plus margins in recent cycles (65%-35% in 2022), and superior fundraising amid minimal Democratic challenge. The Democratic Party outcome at 14% aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe Republican seats, where challengers rarely prevail absent scandals or national waves. Candidate-specific shares for A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%) trade tightly due to thinner volume. No significant developments in the past 30 days; early voting starts October 24 ahead of the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in the SC-02 House election, anchored by the district's strong R+9 partisan voter index, incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's 20+ year tenure with consistent 20-point-plus margins in recent cycles (65%-35% in 2022), and superior fundraising amid minimal Democratic challenge. The Democratic Party outcome at 14% aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe Republican seats, where challengers rarely prevail absent scandals or national waves. Candidate-specific shares for A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%) trade tightly due to thinner volume. No significant developments in the past 30 days; early voting starts October 24 ahead of the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in the SC-02 House election, anchored by the district's strong R+9 partisan voter index, incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's 20+ year tenure with consistent 20-point-plus margins in recent cycles (65%-35% in 2022), and superior fundraising amid minimal Democratic challenge. The Democratic Party outcome at 14% aligns with historical incumbency advantages in safe Republican seats, where challengers rarely prevail absent scandals or national waves. Candidate-specific shares for A (49.5%), B (50%), and Other (50.5%) trade tightly due to thinner volume. No significant developments in the past 30 days; early voting starts October 24 ahead of the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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