California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past election results that position the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas seeks re-election alongside fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in the June 2 primary, while Republican Rudy Melendez represents the opposing party's limited field. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by structural factors including redistricting outcomes and turnout patterns in Los Angeles County. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, significant polling reversal before the primary, or unusual general-election dynamics that historically have not altered outcomes in comparable districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,477 交易量
$15,477 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$15,477 交易量
$15,477 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,326 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,151 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past election results that position the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas seeks re-election alongside fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in the June 2 primary, while Republican Rudy Melendez represents the opposing party's limited field. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by structural factors including redistricting outcomes and turnout patterns in Los Angeles County. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, significant polling reversal before the primary, or unusual general-election dynamics that historically have not altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$15,477结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past election results that position the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas seeks re-election alongside fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in the June 2 primary, while Republican Rudy Melendez represents the opposing party's limited field. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by structural factors including redistricting outcomes and turnout patterns in Los Angeles County. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, significant polling reversal before the primary, or unusual general-election dynamics that historically have not altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,477结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and consistent past election results that position the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas seeks re-election alongside fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas in the June 2 primary, while Republican Rudy Melendez represents the opposing party's limited field. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by structural factors including redistricting outcomes and turnout patterns in Los Angeles County. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, significant polling reversal before the primary, or unusual general-election dynamics that historically have not altered outcomes in comparable districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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