California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with high name recognition and state party backing, dominate the June 2 primary field alongside a single Republican entrant. This structure positions a Democratic nominee to prevail in the general election, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these baseline factors while acknowledging limited pathways for change, such as an unanticipated primary upset or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$58,518 交易量
$58,518 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$58,518 交易量
$58,518 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$29,177 交易量
95%
共和党
$29,341 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with high name recognition and state party backing, dominate the June 2 primary field alongside a single Republican entrant. This structure positions a Democratic nominee to prevail in the general election, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these baseline factors while acknowledging limited pathways for change, such as an unanticipated primary upset or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$58,518结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with high name recognition and state party backing, dominate the June 2 primary field alongside a single Republican entrant. This structure positions a Democratic nominee to prevail in the general election, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these baseline factors while acknowledging limited pathways for change, such as an unanticipated primary upset or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$58,518结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with high name recognition and state party backing, dominate the June 2 primary field alongside a single Republican entrant. This structure positions a Democratic nominee to prevail in the general election, aligning with the district's partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these baseline factors while acknowledging limited pathways for change, such as an unanticipated primary upset or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题