Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the Washington 9th congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary against a fragmented field that included independent Kshama Sawant and Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, securing roughly half the vote while Republican Doug Basler placed second. His long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s reliable support in recent presidential elections underpin trader consensus around a wide victory margin on November 3. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event capable of overcoming the structural and historical advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$51,324 交易量
$51,324 交易量
2026-11-02
亚当·史密斯（民主党）
96%
道格·巴斯勒（共和党）
2%
$51,324 交易量
$51,324 交易量
2026-11-02
亚当·史密斯（民主党）
$11,845 交易量
96%
道格·巴斯勒（共和党）
$39,479 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the Washington 9th congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary against a fragmented field that included independent Kshama Sawant and Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, securing roughly half the vote while Republican Doug Basler placed second. His long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s reliable support in recent presidential elections underpin trader consensus around a wide victory margin on November 3. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event capable of overcoming the structural and historical advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$51,324结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the Washington 9th congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary against a fragmented field that included independent Kshama Sawant and Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, securing roughly half the vote while Republican Doug Basler placed second. His long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s reliable support in recent presidential elections underpin trader consensus around a wide victory margin on November 3. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event capable of overcoming the structural and historical advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$51,324结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Adam Smith’s commanding position in the Washington 9th congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary against a fragmented field that included independent Kshama Sawant and Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, securing roughly half the vote while Republican Doug Basler placed second. His long tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s reliable support in recent presidential elections underpin trader consensus around a wide victory margin on November 3. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national realignment, late-breaking scandal, or health event capable of overcoming the structural and historical advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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