Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3, 2026, Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid 61,707 ballots cast, solidifies her frontrunner status in the Solid Democratic TX-07, rated D+12 on the partisan voter index after redistricting preserved her base. The fragmented Republican primary, where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to a May 26 runoff with low turnout of under 18,000 votes, signals weak opposition enthusiasm. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, and lack of competitive polling. A GOP runoff upset by a heavyweight recruit, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,486 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,983 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3, 2026, Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid 61,707 ballots cast, solidifies her frontrunner status in the Solid Democratic TX-07, rated D+12 on the partisan voter index after redistricting preserved her base. The fragmented Republican primary, where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to a May 26 runoff with low turnout of under 18,000 votes, signals weak opposition enthusiasm. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, and lack of competitive polling. A GOP runoff upset by a heavyweight recruit, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$6,468结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3, 2026, Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid 61,707 ballots cast, solidifies her frontrunner status in the Solid Democratic TX-07, rated D+12 on the partisan voter index after redistricting preserved her base. The fragmented Republican primary, where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to a May 26 runoff with low turnout of under 18,000 votes, signals weak opposition enthusiasm. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, and lack of competitive polling. A GOP runoff upset by a heavyweight recruit, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,468结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed victory in the March 3, 2026, Democratic primary, capturing 100% of the vote amid 61,707 ballots cast, solidifies her frontrunner status in the Solid Democratic TX-07, rated D+12 on the partisan voter index after redistricting preserved her base. The fragmented Republican primary, where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to a May 26 runoff with low turnout of under 18,000 votes, signals weak opposition enthusiasm. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, and lack of competitive polling. A GOP runoff upset by a heavyweight recruit, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal could narrow odds, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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