Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unchallenged Democratic primary victory on March 3 and substantial fundraising edge—$1.75 million cash on hand—bolster trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the TX-07 House race, reflecting the district's Cook PVI of D+13 and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Redistricting in 2025 preserved her seat's contours amid Houston suburbs, where she secured 61% in 2024 despite a national Republican edge. The Republican primary's low turnout produced a May 26 runoff between underfunded Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, neither posing a historical threat. Realistic challenges include a GOP nominee's unexpected fundraising surge, a Fletcher scandal, or a broader midterm Republican wave, though structural advantages favor the incumbent through November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,085 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,983 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unchallenged Democratic primary victory on March 3 and substantial fundraising edge—$1.75 million cash on hand—bolster trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the TX-07 House race, reflecting the district's Cook PVI of D+13 and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Redistricting in 2025 preserved her seat's contours amid Houston suburbs, where she secured 61% in 2024 despite a national Republican edge. The Republican primary's low turnout produced a May 26 runoff between underfunded Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, neither posing a historical threat. Realistic challenges include a GOP nominee's unexpected fundraising surge, a Fletcher scandal, or a broader midterm Republican wave, though structural advantages favor the incumbent through November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,068结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unchallenged Democratic primary victory on March 3 and substantial fundraising edge—$1.75 million cash on hand—bolster trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the TX-07 House race, reflecting the district's Cook PVI of D+13 and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Redistricting in 2025 preserved her seat's contours amid Houston suburbs, where she secured 61% in 2024 despite a national Republican edge. The Republican primary's low turnout produced a May 26 runoff between underfunded Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, neither posing a historical threat. Realistic challenges include a GOP nominee's unexpected fundraising surge, a Fletcher scandal, or a broader midterm Republican wave, though structural advantages favor the incumbent through November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,068结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unchallenged Democratic primary victory on March 3 and substantial fundraising edge—$1.75 million cash on hand—bolster trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the TX-07 House race, reflecting the district's Cook PVI of D+13 and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Redistricting in 2025 preserved her seat's contours amid Houston suburbs, where she secured 61% in 2024 despite a national Republican edge. The Republican primary's low turnout produced a May 26 runoff between underfunded Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, neither posing a historical threat. Realistic challenges include a GOP nominee's unexpected fundraising surge, a Fletcher scandal, or a broader midterm Republican wave, though structural advantages favor the incumbent through November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题