Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, establishing a strong position in a state where Republicans have won every congressional election since 2008. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a consolidated GOP field that favored the sitting attorney general. Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide voter alignment. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,071 交易量
$32,071 交易量
2026-11-02
马蒂·杰克利（共和党）
95%
尼基·格龙利（民主党）
4%
$32,071 交易量
$32,071 交易量
2026-11-02
马蒂·杰克利（共和党）
$24,383 交易量
95%
尼基·格龙利（民主党）
$7,688 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, establishing a strong position in a state where Republicans have won every congressional election since 2008. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a consolidated GOP field that favored the sitting attorney general. Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide voter alignment. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$32,071结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, establishing a strong position in a state where Republicans have won every congressional election since 2008. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a consolidated GOP field that favored the sitting attorney general. Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide voter alignment. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,071结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETMarty Jackley secured the Republican nomination for South Dakota’s at-large House seat with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, establishing a strong position in a state where Republicans have won every congressional election since 2008. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a consolidated GOP field that favored the sitting attorney general. Nicole Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide voter alignment. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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