Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,379 交易量
$45,379 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$45,379 交易量
$45,379 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$24,918 交易量
93%
民主党
$20,461 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$45,379结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,379结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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