Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,946 交易量
$13,946 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$13,946 交易量
$13,946 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,720 交易量
84%
民主党
$5,226 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$13,946结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,946结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, facing Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November general election. Texas's 31st district has remained in Republican hands since its creation, reflecting consistent voter preferences in Central Texas suburbs and rural areas that favor GOP candidates by wide margins in prior cycles. Carter's long tenure and primary resilience reinforce the market's 84 percent Republican consensus, while the 15.5 percent Democratic share aligns with the party's limited historical performance and structural challenges in this district. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries, leaving the general election outcome dependent on turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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