Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces a Democratic primary field including Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 2026 ruling striking down a mid-decade redistricting referendum preserved the existing map, which delivered the seat to Cline by a wide margin in 2024 and favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent presidential voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic prospects despite primary activity. The resulting trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an implied probability near 78 percent, consistent with the district’s structural partisan tilt and absence of competitive general-election polling shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$81,932 交易量
$81,932 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
69%
民主党
13%
$81,932 交易量
$81,932 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$28,401 交易量
69%
民主党
$53,532 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces a Democratic primary field including Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 2026 ruling striking down a mid-decade redistricting referendum preserved the existing map, which delivered the seat to Cline by a wide margin in 2024 and favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent presidential voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic prospects despite primary activity. The resulting trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an implied probability near 78 percent, consistent with the district’s structural partisan tilt and absence of competitive general-election polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$81,932结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces a Democratic primary field including Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 2026 ruling striking down a mid-decade redistricting referendum preserved the existing map, which delivered the seat to Cline by a wide margin in 2024 and favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent presidential voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic prospects despite primary activity. The resulting trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an implied probability near 78 percent, consistent with the district’s structural partisan tilt and absence of competitive general-election polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$81,932结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces a Democratic primary field including Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 2026 ruling striking down a mid-decade redistricting referendum preserved the existing map, which delivered the seat to Cline by a wide margin in 2024 and favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent presidential voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic prospects despite primary activity. The resulting trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an implied probability near 78 percent, consistent with the district’s structural partisan tilt and absence of competitive general-election polling shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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