Incumbent Republican Rep. Chuck Fleischmann's commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+17) and his consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points over Democratic challenger Kevin Jenkins. No major developments in the past 30 days, including stable early voting turnout and Fleischmann's fundraising dominance, have altered this trajectory since the August primaries. Historical incumbency advantages in safe House seats reinforce the odds, though late-breaking scenarios like a Republican scandal, health issues, or unexpected Democratic surges in Chattanooga-area absentee ballots or election night vote counts could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Chuck Fleischmann's commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+17) and his consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points over Democratic challenger Kevin Jenkins. No major developments in the past 30 days, including stable early voting turnout and Fleischmann's fundraising dominance, have altered this trajectory since the August primaries. Historical incumbency advantages in safe House seats reinforce the odds, though late-breaking scenarios like a Republican scandal, health issues, or unexpected Democratic surges in Chattanooga-area absentee ballots or election night vote counts could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Chuck Fleischmann's commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+17) and his consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points over Democratic challenger Kevin Jenkins. No major developments in the past 30 days, including stable early voting turnout and Fleischmann's fundraising dominance, have altered this trajectory since the August primaries. Historical incumbency advantages in safe House seats reinforce the odds, though late-breaking scenarios like a Republican scandal, health issues, or unexpected Democratic surges in Chattanooga-area absentee ballots or election night vote counts could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Chuck Fleischmann's commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean (Cook PVI R+17) and his consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points over Democratic challenger Kevin Jenkins. No major developments in the past 30 days, including stable early voting turnout and Fleischmann's fundraising dominance, have altered this trajectory since the August primaries. Historical incumbency advantages in safe House seats reinforce the odds, though late-breaking scenarios like a Republican scandal, health issues, or unexpected Democratic surges in Chattanooga-area absentee ballots or election night vote counts could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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