Luz Rivas holds an 87.5% implied probability as the CA-29 winner, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent who secured 51% in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced alongside challenger Angélica María Dueñas. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 50 points, underpins trader consensus on her general-election path. Dueñas, at 13.5%, trails after receiving about 25% in the primary against limited Republican opposition. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primary, though the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid standard turnout and campaign dynamics in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
卢兹·里瓦斯
87%
安赫利卡·玛丽亚·杜尼亚斯
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
卢兹·里瓦斯
$923 交易量
87%
安赫利卡·玛丽亚·杜尼亚斯
$242 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 87.5% implied probability as the CA-29 winner, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent who secured 51% in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced alongside challenger Angélica María Dueñas. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 50 points, underpins trader consensus on her general-election path. Dueñas, at 13.5%, trails after receiving about 25% in the primary against limited Republican opposition. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primary, though the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid standard turnout and campaign dynamics in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,165结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 87.5% implied probability as the CA-29 winner, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent who secured 51% in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced alongside challenger Angélica María Dueñas. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 50 points, underpins trader consensus on her general-election path. Dueñas, at 13.5%, trails after receiving about 25% in the primary against limited Republican opposition. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primary, though the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid standard turnout and campaign dynamics in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,165结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Luz Rivas holds an 87.5% implied probability as the CA-29 winner, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent who secured 51% in the June 2026 top-two primary and advanced alongside challenger Angélica María Dueñas. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 50 points, underpins trader consensus on her general-election path. Dueñas, at 13.5%, trails after receiving about 25% in the primary against limited Republican opposition. No major late developments have altered positioning since the primary, though the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid standard turnout and campaign dynamics in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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